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Bundesliga

Referee: Frank Willenborg

RB Leipzig

U U T S T

2–0

Full-time

Heidenheim

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Heidenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,5

4,0

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

3,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

6,0

4,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

6,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

-6,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,23 xG 1,02

66% Possession 34%

19 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 18. · Heidenheim 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St Pauli	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.8	4
2	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+6	+1.2	3
3	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
4	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.3	3
5	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
6	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
7	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
8	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
9	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
10	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
11	Hamburg	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.8	1
12	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
13	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
14	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
15	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.3	0
16	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
17	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
18	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-6	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+6	+1.2	3
2	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
3	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
4	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
5	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
6	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
7	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
8	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.3	0
9	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
10	Hamburg	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.3	3
2	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
3	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
4	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
5	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
6	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
7	Hamburg	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
8	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
9	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
10	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-6	-1.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.