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Serie B

Referee: K Bonacina

Catanzaro

T U S U S

0–2

Full-time

Spezia

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,7

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 39/38 matches

Win Ø 38%

31%

45%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

46%

42%

Both score Ø 51%

54%

47%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

8 Shots 9

1 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Catanzaro 6. · Spezia 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	38	25	7	6	+40	82
2	Pisa	38	22	8	8	+25	74
3	Spezia	38	17	15	6	+26	66
4	Cremonese	38	16	13	9	+18	61
5	Juve Stabia	39	15	13	11	+2	58
6	Catanzaro	39	12	20	7	+7	56
7	Cesena	39	14	11	14	-2	53
8	Palermo	39	14	10	15	+8	52
9	Bari	38	10	18	10	+1	48
10	Sudtirol	38	12	10	16	-7	46
11	Modena	38	10	15	13	-2	45
12	Carrarese	38	11	12	15	-10	45
13	Mantova	38	10	14	14	-9	44
14	Reggiana	38	11	11	16	-10	44
15	Brescia	38	9	16	13	-6	43
16	Frosinone	38	9	16	13	-13	43
17	Salernitana	38	11	9	18	-10	42
18	Sampdoria	38	8	17	13	-11	41
19	Cittadella	38	10	10	18	-23	40
20	Cosenza	38	7	13	18	-24	34

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	19	14	2	3	+26	44
2	Pisa	19	13	4	2	+19	43
3	Spezia	19	12	4	3	+19	40
4	Juve Stabia	20	11	4	5	+8	37
5	Carrarese	19	10	5	4	+6	35
6	Catanzaro	20	8	9	3	+11	33
7	Cesena	19	8	7	4	+6	31
8	Salernitana	19	9	4	6	+5	31
9	Mantova	19	8	7	4	+5	31
10	Bari	19	7	9	3	+5	30
11	Cremonese	19	7	8	4	+7	29
12	Palermo	19	8	5	6	+7	29
13	Modena	19	6	8	5	+3	26
14	Sudtirol	19	6	7	6	-2	25
15	Sampdoria	19	6	7	6	-2	25
16	Reggiana	19	6	6	7	-2	24
17	Frosinone	19	4	10	5	-6	22
18	Cosenza	19	5	7	7	-7	22
19	Brescia	19	4	9	6	-1	21
20	Cittadella	19	3	7	9	-11	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	19	11	5	3	+14	38
2	Cremonese	19	9	5	5	+11	32
3	Pisa	19	9	4	6	+6	31
4	Spezia	19	5	11	3	+7	26
5	Cittadella	19	7	3	9	-12	24
6	Palermo	20	6	5	9	+1	23
7	Catanzaro	19	4	11	4	-4	23
8	Brescia	19	5	7	7	-5	22
9	Cesena	20	6	4	10	-8	22
10	Sudtirol	19	6	3	10	-5	21
11	Juve Stabia	19	4	9	6	-6	21
12	Frosinone	19	5	6	8	-7	21
13	Reggiana	19	5	5	9	-8	20
14	Modena	19	4	7	8	-5	19
15	Bari	19	3	9	7	-4	18
16	Sampdoria	19	2	10	7	-9	16
17	Mantova	19	2	7	10	-14	13
18	Cosenza	19	2	6	11	-17	12
19	Salernitana	19	2	5	12	-15	11
20	Carrarese	19	1	7	11	-16	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.