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Serie B
Referee: M Marchetti
Catanzaro
U U U S S
0–1
Full-time
Spezia
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Spezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
83%
0%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,7
This season — Serie B · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 39%
24%
53%
Points per game
1,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
53%
41%
Both score Ø 47%
59%
35%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,1
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
15 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Catanzaro 8. · Spezia 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 18 13 4 1 +25 43
2 Pisa 17 10 5 2 +13 35
3 Spezia 17 9 7 1 +17 34
4 Cremonese 17 7 4 6 +4 25
5 Cesena 17 7 4 6 +3 25
6 Juve Stabia 17 6 7 4 -1 25
7 Bari 18 5 9 4 +3 24
8 Catanzaro 17 4 11 2 +4 23
9 Carrarese 18 6 5 7 -4 23
10 Mantova 18 5 7 6 -2 22
11 Palermo 18 5 6 7 +1 21
12 Brescia 18 5 6 7 -3 21
13 Modena 17 4 8 5 +0 20
14 Cosenza 18 4 8 6 -3 20
15 Reggiana 17 4 6 7 -3 18
16 Sampdoria 17 4 6 7 -6 18
17 Salernitana 18 4 6 8 -7 18
18 Sudtirol 18 5 2 11 -13 17
19 Frosinone 18 3 7 8 -12 16
20 Cittadella 17 3 6 8 -16 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Catanzaro Spezia
18′
F. Esposito 0–1
Stefano Scognamillo 🟨
42′
42′
🟨 Przemysław Wiśniewski
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 A. Matějů
↦ N. Bertola
F. Pittarello 🔁
↦ T. Biasci
54′
N. Buso 🔁
↦ S. Pontisso
54′
Matias Antonini 🔁
↦ S. Scognamillo
55′
Pietro Iemmello ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
60′
67′
🔁 G. Aurelio
↦ A. Reca
67′
🔁 E. Soleri
↦ D. Falcinelli
75′
🔁 F. Cassata
↦ D. Degli Innocenti
Jacopo Petriccione 🟨
77′
D. Seck 🔁
↦ M. Compagnon
80′
86′
🔁 A. Čolak
↦ F. Esposito
A. La Mantia 🔁
↦ T. Cassandro
88′
90′
🟨 Salvatore Esposito
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Catanzaro

3-5-2
22 M. Pigliacelli G
23 N. Brighenti D
14 S. Scognamillo D
6 F. Bonini D
84 T. Cassandro M
21 M. Pompetti M
10 J. Petriccione M
20 S. Pontisso M
7 M. Compagnon M
9 P. Iemmello F
28 T. Biasci F
Bench (12)
90 F. Pittarello
45 N. Buso
4 Matias Antonini
29 D. Seck
19 A. La Mantia
27 A. Ceresoli
1 A. Dini
24 R. Pagano
8 I. Koutsoupias
3 R. Turicchia
17 E. Brignola
92 M. Šitum

Coach: F. Caserta

Spezia

3-5-2
66 S. Gori G
2 P. Wiśniewski D
55 P. Hristov D
77 N. Bertola D
7 S. Elia M
5 S. Esposito M
8 Á. Nagy M
6 D. Degli Innocenti M
13 A. Reca M
11 D. Falcinelli F
9 F. Esposito F
Bench (12)
37 A. Matějů
31 G. Aurelio
27 E. Soleri
29 F. Cassata
17 A. Čolak
4 Salvador Ferrer
20 G. Di Serio
25 F. Bandinelli
36 P. Candelari
65 S. Giorgeschi
44 M. Benvenuto
1 M. Sarr

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,95
U
3,08
B ✓
2,49
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Marchetti · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.