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Premiership

Referee: D Nicolson

Livingston

U S U S T

1–2

Full-time

Hearts

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

2,0

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,3

This season — Premiership · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

4,3

Scored

1,7

2,7

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

6 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 9

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 16

7 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Livingston 4. · Hearts 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	3	3	0	0	+6	+2.5	9
2	Hearts	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.8	7
3	Hibernian	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.1	4
4	Livingston	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.6	4
5	Kilmarnock	3	0	3	0	+0	-0.1	3
6	Motherwell	3	0	3	0	+0	+1.8	3
7	Rangers	3	0	3	0	+0	-0.9	3
8	Dundee	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.0	2
9	St Mirren	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.5	2
10	Dundee United	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
11	Falkirk	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.7	1
12	Aberdeen	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.8	6
2	Hearts	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.1	4
3	Livingston	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
4	Kilmarnock	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.2	2
5	St Mirren	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.2	2
6	Falkirk	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
7	Hibernian	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
8	Motherwell	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.0	1
9	Rangers	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
10	Dundee United	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
11	Dundee	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
12	Aberdeen	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
2	Hearts	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
3	Hibernian	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
4	Motherwell	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
5	Rangers	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.0	2
6	Dundee	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.2	2
7	Dundee United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
8	Kilmarnock	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
9	Livingston	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.2	1
10	St Mirren	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
11	Falkirk	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
12	Aberdeen	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.