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Pro League

Referee: Massimiliano Ledda

Mechelen

U U U S T

3–2

Full-time

RAAL La Louviere

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen RAAL La Louviere

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 3/5 matches

Win Ø 27%

33%

20%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

33%

20%

Both score Ø 44%

67%

20%

Average goals

2,0

1,4

Scored

1,0

0,4

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,39 xG 0,80

66% Possession 34%

13 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 7. · RAAL La Louviere 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St Truiden	5	3	2	0	+5	+6.2	11
2	Anderlecht	4	3	0	1	+6	+5.5	9
3	Club Brugge	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.9	9
4	St. Gilloise	4	2	2	0	+8	+7.9	8
5	Cercle Brugge	5	2	1	2	+2	-0.3	7
6	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+1	-3.1	4
7	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.9	4
8	RAAL La Louviere	5	1	1	3	-3	-3.5	4
9	Waregem	5	1	1	3	-4	-2.2	4
10	Standard	4	1	1	2	-4	-3.0	4
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	1	0	1	-4	-1.5	3
12	Westerlo	4	1	0	3	-5	-1.4	3
13	Charleroi	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
14	Dender	4	0	1	3	-5	-5.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.4	6
2	St Truiden	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.6	6
3	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.0	6
4	Cercle Brugge	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.4	4
5	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+1	-3.1	4
6	RAAL La Louviere	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.9	4
7	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	+2	+3.0	3
8	Westerlo	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.2	3
9	Charleroi	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
10	Standard	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.1	1
11	Waregem	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.9	1
12	Dender	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.5	6
2	St Truiden	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.6	5
3	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.9	4
4	Cercle Brugge	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.1	3
5	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
6	Waregem	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.4	3
7	Standard	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	1	0	1	-4	-1.5	3
9	St. Gilloise	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.5	2
10	Dender	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.8	1
11	Charleroi	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
12	RAAL La Louviere	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.6	0
13	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.