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Bundesliga
Referee: M Hameter
LASK
T T T S T
1–3
Full-time
Ried
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK Ried
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

57% Possession 43%
21 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match LASK 10. · Ried 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Salzburg 4 3 1 0 +9 +4.2 10
2 SK Rapid 4 3 1 0 +3 +0.8 10
3 Altach 4 2 2 0 +3 +1.1 8
4 Tirol 3 2 1 0 +4 +3.9 7
5 Sturm Graz 3 2 0 1 +3 +2.9 6
6 Wolfsberger AC 4 2 0 2 +2 +0.1 6
7 Hartberg 4 2 0 2 +0 -0.4 6
8 Ried 4 1 1 2 -1 -2.4 4
9 Grazer AK 4 0 3 1 -5 -3.0 3
10 LASK 4 1 0 3 -6 -5.0 3
11 Austria Vienna 4 0 1 3 -5 +0.0 1
12 BW Linz 4 0 0 4 -7 -2.2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

LASK Ried
2′
🟨 Kingstone Mutandwa
37′
ℹ️ Mark Große
VAR: Penalty confirmed
39′
M. Grosse 0–1
41′
M. Grosse 0–2
Lukas Kačavenda 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 A. van Wyk
↦ K. Mutandwa
Kasper Jørgensen 🟨
47′
48′
🟨 Ante Bajić
52′
P. Kiedl 0–3
P. Pomer
57′
🔁 M. Rasner
↦ J. Mayer
Krystof Daněk 🟨
59′
Samuel Adeniran 🟨
59′
E. Michael 🔁
↦ G. Bello
63′
C. Lang 🔁
↦ L. Kacavenda
63′
1–3 Alemao
K. Danek
65′
70′
🔁 F. Rossdorfer
↦ A. Bajic
70′
🔁 J. Boguo
↦ P. Kiedl
85′
🔁 C. Wernitznig
↦ Y. Maart
F. Flecker 🔁
↦ K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen
88′
L. Pintor 🔁
↦ A. Smakaj
88′
Valon Berisha 🟨
90′
Emmanuel Michael 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

LASK

4-2-3-1
1 L. Jungwirth G
20 K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen D
43 Alemao D
16 A. Andrade D
2 G. Bello D
5 A. Smakaj M
14 V. Berisha M
8 M. Usor M
9 K. Danek M
44 L. Kacavenda M
7 S. Adeniran F
Bench (9)
33 T. Schutzenauer
6 M. Bogarde
41 E. Michael
13 A. Adeshina
48 M. Cisse
4 I. Coulibaly
29 F. Flecker
27 C. Lang
19 L. Pintor

Coach: Dietmar Kuhbauer

Ried

3-4-1-2
1 A. Leitner G
5 N. Havenaar D
23 M. Sollbauer D
30 O. Steurer D
12 A. Bajic M
26 J. Mayer M
6 Y. Maart M
17 P. Pomer M
10 M. Grosse F
13 P. Kiedl F
7 K. Mutandwa F
Bench (9)
77 F. Wimmer
25 D. Kirnbauer
3 J. Scherzer
8 M. Rasner
18 F. Rossdorfer
24 C. Wernitznig
29 A. van Wyk
15 J. Boguo
11 E. Azkune

Coach: Maximilian Senft

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Hameter · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.