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LaLiga2

Referee: L Bestard Servera

Santander

S U T S S

4–1

Full-time

Ceuta

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Ceuta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

100%

17%

Average goals

4,8

2,7

Scored

2,5

0,7

Conceded

2,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,3

This season — LaLiga2 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,5

2,0

Scored

3,0

0,0

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

64% Possession 36%

17 Shots 11

9 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Santander 3. · Ceuta 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sp Gijon	3	3	0	0	+3	–	9
2	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
3	Santander	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
4	Almeria	3	1	2	0	+1	–	5
5	Burgos	2	1	1	0	+4	+3.1	4
6	Eibar	2	1	1	0	+3	–	4
7	Las Palmas	2	1	1	0	+2	–	4
8	Andorra	2	1	1	0	+2	–	4
9	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+2	–	4
10	Cadiz	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
11	Huesca	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
12	Malaga	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
13	Sociedad B	3	1	1	1	+0	–	4
14	Leganes	2	0	2	0	+0	–	2
15	Albacete	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
16	Mirandes	2	0	0	2	-2	–	0
17	Cordoba	2	0	0	2	-3	–	0
18	Castellon	2	0	0	2	-3	–	0
19	Zaragoza	2	0	0	2	-3	–	0
20	Ceuta	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.3	0
21	Granada	2	0	0	2	-5	–	0
22	Cultural Leonesa	3	0	0	3	-6	-3.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
2	Sociedad B	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
3	Malaga	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
4	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.1	3
5	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
6	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.3	3
7	Santander	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
8	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
9	Almeria	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
10	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
11	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
12	Las Palmas	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
13	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
14	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
15	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
16	Castellon	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
17	Cultural Leonesa	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
18	Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
19	Granada	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
20	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
21	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Andorra	2	1	1	0	+2	–	4
2	Almeria	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
3	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
4	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
5	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
6	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
7	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
9	Albacete	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
10	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
11	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
12	Eibar	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
13	Burgos	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
14	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
15	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
16	Sociedad B	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
17	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
18	Castellon	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
19	Granada	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
20	Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.3	0
21	Cultural Leonesa	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.