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Serie B

Referee: D Ghersini

Spezia

T U T T S

1–1

Full-time

Catanzaro

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Catanzaro

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,7

This season — Serie B · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 32%

18%

45%

Points per game

0,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

55%

59%

Both score Ø 48%

45%

50%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

0,9

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%

15 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 19. · Catanzaro 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	22	13	6	3	+20	45
2	Cremonese	22	12	5	5	+15	41
3	Venezia	22	12	5	5	+12	41
4	Palermo	23	11	6	6	+12	39
5	Como	22	11	6	5	+6	39
6	Cittadella	22	10	6	6	+4	36
7	Catanzaro	22	10	4	8	+3	34
8	Modena	22	8	7	7	-3	31
9	Brescia	22	7	8	7	+0	29
10	Reggiana	22	6	10	6	-1	28
11	Sampdoria	22	8	4	10	-5	28
12	Cosenza	22	7	6	9	+0	27
13	Bari	23	5	12	6	-5	27
14	Pisa	22	6	8	8	-2	26
15	Sudtirol	22	6	6	10	-2	24
16	Ascoli	22	5	7	10	-5	22
17	Ternana	22	5	6	11	-5	21
18	FeralpiSalo	22	5	5	12	-12	20
19	Spezia	22	4	8	10	-15	20
20	Lecco	22	5	5	12	-17	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	12	8	2	2	+9	26
2	Parma	11	6	5	0	+10	23
3	Cittadella	12	7	2	3	+6	23
4	Palermo	12	7	1	4	+8	22
5	Cremonese	12	6	3	3	+8	21
6	Como	11	6	3	2	+5	21
7	Catanzaro	11	6	2	3	+6	20
8	Modena	11	5	2	4	+1	17
9	Cosenza	11	4	3	4	+5	15
10	Bari	11	3	6	2	-1	15
11	Ternana	11	3	4	4	+2	13
12	Reggiana	11	2	7	2	-1	13
13	Brescia	11	3	4	4	-2	13
14	Sampdoria	11	4	1	6	-3	13
15	Ascoli	10	3	3	4	+1	12
16	FeralpiSalo	11	3	3	5	+0	12
17	Sudtirol	11	3	3	5	+0	12
18	Pisa	11	2	5	4	-2	11
19	Lecco	10	3	1	6	-6	10
20	Spezia	10	1	5	4	-3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	11	7	1	3	+10	22
2	Cremonese	10	6	2	2	+7	20
3	Como	11	5	3	3	+1	18
4	Palermo	11	4	5	2	+4	17
5	Brescia	11	4	4	3	+2	16
6	Venezia	10	4	3	3	+3	15
7	Reggiana	11	4	3	4	+0	15
8	Pisa	11	4	3	4	+0	15
9	Sampdoria	11	4	3	4	-2	15
10	Catanzaro	11	4	2	5	-3	14
11	Modena	11	3	5	3	-4	14
12	Cittadella	10	3	4	3	-2	13
13	Sudtirol	11	3	3	5	-2	12
14	Bari	12	2	6	4	-4	12
15	Cosenza	11	3	3	5	-5	12
16	Spezia	12	3	3	6	-12	12
17	Ascoli	12	2	4	6	-6	10
18	Lecco	12	2	4	6	-11	10
19	Ternana	11	2	2	7	-7	8
20	FeralpiSalo	11	2	2	7	-12	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.