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Bundesliga

Referee: Sven Jablonski

Stuttgart

S S S T U

1–0

Full-time

M'gladbach

U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart M'gladbach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,2

3,8

Scored

2,7

1,7

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

0,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,84 xG 1,82

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 10

2 Offside 4

5 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stuttgart 13. · M'gladbach 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St Pauli	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.8	4
2	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+6	+1.2	3
3	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
4	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.3	3
5	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
6	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
7	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
8	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
9	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
10	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
11	Hamburg	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.8	1
12	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
13	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
14	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
15	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.3	0
16	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
17	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
18	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-6	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+6	+1.2	3
2	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
3	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
4	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
5	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
6	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
7	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
8	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.3	0
9	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
10	Hamburg	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.3	3
2	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
3	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
4	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
5	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
6	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
7	Hamburg	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
8	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
9	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
10	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-6	-1.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.