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Bundesliga

Referee: Florian Exner

Augsburg

T T T S S

2–3

Full-time

Bayern Munich

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Bayern Munich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

4,3

Scored

1,2

3,5

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+2,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

6,0

Scored

3,0

6,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+6,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,51 xG 4,24

42% Possession 58%

10 Shots 20

3 Shots on target 10

1 Blocked shots 5

7 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 5

4 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Augsburg 4. · Bayern Munich 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.4	6
2	St Pauli	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.8	4
3	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+6	+1.2	3
4	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.3	3
5	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
6	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
7	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
8	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.4	3
9	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
10	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	-4	+0.0	3
11	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
12	Leverkusen	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
13	M'gladbach	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.7	1
14	Hamburg	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.8	1
15	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.7	1
16	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
17	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.3	0
18	Heidenheim	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+6	+1.2	3
2	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
3	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
4	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
5	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.0	3
6	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
7	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
8	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
9	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
10	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
11	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.3	0
12	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.2	0
13	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
14	Hamburg	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.3	3
2	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
3	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
4	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
5	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
6	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
7	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
8	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
9	Hamburg	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
10	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
11	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.0	0
12	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
13	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
14	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-6	-1.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.