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Serie A

Referee: Maurizio Mariani

Parma

T U S S T

1–1

Full-time

Atalanta

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,68 xG 0,81

46% Possession 54%

7 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 2

1 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Parma 17. · Atalanta 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.3	6
2	Inter	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.7	3
3	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
5	Como	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
6	Milan	2	1	0	1	+1	+3.3	3
7	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
8	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
9	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
10	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
11	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
12	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
13	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
14	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
15	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.7	1
16	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
17	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
18	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
19	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.8	0
20	Torino	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.7	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
3	Como	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
4	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
5	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
6	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
7	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
8	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
9	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
10	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.7	0
11	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
12	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
2	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
3	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.7	3
4	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
5	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
6	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
7	Lecce	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
8	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
9	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
10	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
11	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
12	Torino	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.