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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Prigan
Bochum
S T S S T
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bochum Preußen Münster
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%
16 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bochum 14. · Preußen Münster 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hannover 3 3 0 0 +5 +2.5 9
2 Elversberg 4 3 0 1 +2 -2.9 9
3 Darmstadt 3 2 1 0 +4 +0.9 7
4 Karlsruhe 3 2 1 0 +3 +0.3 7
5 Bielefeld 3 2 0 1 +5 +1.7 6
6 Schalke 04 3 2 0 1 +1 +0.8 6
7 Braunschweig 3 2 0 1 +0 -1.1 6
8 Paderborn 4 1 2 1 +0 +2.8 5
9 Preußen Münster 3 1 1 1 +0 -2.5 4
10 Dresden 3 1 0 2 -1 +1.8 3
11 Holstein Kiel 3 1 0 2 -1 +0.1 3
12 Kaiserslautern 3 1 0 2 -1 -0.2 3
13 Greuther Furth 3 1 0 2 -2 -0.2 3
14 Bochum 3 1 0 2 -2 +1.8 3
15 Magdeburg 3 1 0 2 -2 -0.5 3
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 3 1 0 2 -5 -3.5 3
17 Hertha 4 0 2 2 -3 -1.9 2
18 Nurnberg 4 0 1 3 -3 +0.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bochum Preußen Münster
27′
J. Mees 0–1
M. Schulz
Leandro Morgalla 🟨
31′
1–1 P. Hofmann
F. Passlack
43′
Felix Passlack ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
45′
Half-time 1–1
47′
🟨 Jano ter Horst
49′
J. Mees 1–2
J. Hendrix
Cajetan Lenz 🟨
54′
I. Sissoko 🔁
↦ P. Hofmann
58′
M. Clairicia 🔁
↦ G. Holtmann
58′
N. Loosli 🔁
↦ F. Passlack
58′
63′
🔁 L. Lokotsch
↦ E. Amenyido
66′
🟨 Marvin Schulz
67′
🔁 M. Kirkeskov
↦ L. Bolay
67′
🔁 M. Meyerhofer
↦ J. ter Horst
75′
🟨 Jorrit Hendrix
O. Keumo 🔁
↦ K. Watjen
76′
R. Rosch 🔁
↦ L. Morgalla
79′
80′
🔁 S. Scherder
↦ J. Mees
Ibrahim Sissoko 🟨
83′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Bochum

4-1-4-1
1 T. Horn G
15 F. Passlack D
39 L. Morgalla D
7 K. Vogt D
32 M. Wittek D
34 C. Lenz M
8 K. Watjen M
21 F. Onyeka M
19 M. Bero M
17 G. Holtmann M
33 P. Hofmann F
Bench (9)
22 N. Thiede
5 C. Kleine-Bekel
9 I. Sissoko
14 M. Clairicia
26 R. Rosch
36 L. Jashari
20 N. Loosli
25 D. Hulsenbusch
30 O. Keumo

Coach: Uwe Rosler

Preußen Münster

4-3-1-2
1 J. Schenk G
27 J. ter Horst D
22 J. Heuer D
3 P. Jaeckel D
25 L. Bolay D
10 M. Schulz M
21 R. Preissinger M
20 J. Hendrix M
8 J. Mees M
17 O. Batista Meier F
30 E. Amenyido F
Bench (9)
26 M. Behrens
2 M. Kirkeskov
15 S. Scherder
24 N. Koulis
28 M. Meyerhofer
5 Y. Bouchama
14 C. Makridis
13 L. Lokotsch
23 M. Batmaz

Coach: Alexander Ende

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,94
U
3,55
B ✓
3,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Prigan · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.