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Super League

Referee: Sven Wolfensberger

Sion

S T S S U

0–1

Full-time

Basel

S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sion Basel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

2,3

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,41 xG 1,11

41% Possession 59%

8 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sion 3. · Basel 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	5	4	1	0	+7	-0.9	13
2	St. Gallen	4	3	0	1	+8	+5.6	9
3	Sion	3	2	1	0	+5	-0.1	7
4	Luzern	4	2	1	1	+1	-0.6	7
5	Zurich	5	2	1	2	-2	+0.4	7
6	Basel	4	2	0	2	+1	+4.8	6
7	Young Boys	4	1	2	1	-1	-1.5	5
8	Lausanne	3	1	0	2	-1	+4.3	3
9	Grasshoppers	5	0	3	2	-2	-3.9	3
10	Lugano	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.8	3
11	Winterthur	5	0	2	3	-8	-5.8	2
12	Servette	3	0	1	2	-5	-3.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	3	2	0	1	+5	+3.3	6
2	Basel	2	2	0	0	+4	+5.3	6
3	Young Boys	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.0	4
4	Thun	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.7	4
5	Sion	1	1	0	0	+4	-0.5	3
6	Lugano	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.3	3
7	Lausanne	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.7	3
8	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
9	Luzern	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
10	Winterthur	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.2	1
11	Servette	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.2	1
12	Zurich	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.8	9
2	Zurich	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.1	7
3	Luzern	2	2	0	0	+2	-1.0	6
4	Sion	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
5	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.3	3
6	Grasshoppers	3	0	2	1	-1	-3.4	2
7	Young Boys	2	0	1	1	-3	-3.6	1
8	Winterthur	3	0	1	2	-6	-4.5	1
9	Lausanne	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.7	0
10	Servette	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
11	Basel	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
12	Lugano	1	0	0	1	-4	+0.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.