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Bundesliga

Referee: Robin Braun

Werder Bremen

U U S T T

3–3

Full-time

Leverkusen

U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Leverkusen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,8

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

4,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-3,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,59 xG 2,10

45% Possession 55%

12 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Werder Bremen 17. · Leverkusen 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St Pauli	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.8	4
2	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+6	+1.2	3
3	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
4	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.3	3
5	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
6	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
7	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
8	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
9	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
10	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
11	Hamburg	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.8	1
12	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
13	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
14	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
15	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.3	0
16	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
17	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
18	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-6	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+6	+1.2	3
2	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
3	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
4	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
5	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
6	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
7	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
8	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.3	0
9	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
10	Hamburg	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.3	3
2	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
3	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
4	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
5	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
6	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
7	Hamburg	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
8	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
9	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
10	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-6	-1.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.