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Serie A

Referee: Kevin Bonacina

Napoli

S U U S S

1–0

Full-time

Cagliari

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,58 xG 0,53

67% Possession 33%

20 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

13 Corners 0

3 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Napoli 4. · Cagliari 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.3	6
2	Inter	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.7	3
3	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
5	Milan	2	1	0	1	+1	+3.3	3
6	Como	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.7	3
7	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
8	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
9	Atalanta	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.4	2
10	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
11	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
12	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
13	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
14	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
15	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
16	Parma	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.9	1
17	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.7	1
18	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
19	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.8	0
20	Torino	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.7	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
3	Como	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
4	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
5	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
6	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
8	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
9	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
10	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
11	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
12	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.7	0
13	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
14	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
2	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
3	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.7	3
4	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
5	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
6	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
7	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
8	Lecce	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
9	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
10	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
11	Como	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
12	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
13	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
14	Torino	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.