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Pro League

Referee: Wesli De Cremer

Charleroi

S U T U T

3–1

Full-time

Dender

U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Dender

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 2/4 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

1,5

1,8

Scored

0,5

0,3

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,89 xG 0,54

51% Possession 49%

11 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 13. · Dender 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St Truiden	5	3	2	0	+5	+6.2	11
2	Anderlecht	4	3	0	1	+6	+5.5	9
3	Club Brugge	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.9	9
4	St. Gilloise	4	2	2	0	+8	+7.9	8
5	Cercle Brugge	5	2	1	2	+2	-0.3	7
6	Mechelen	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.7	7
7	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+1	-3.1	4
8	Waregem	5	1	1	3	-4	-2.2	4
9	RAAL La Louviere	6	1	1	4	-4	-5.1	4
10	Standard	4	1	1	2	-4	-3.0	4
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	1	0	1	-4	-1.5	3
12	Westerlo	4	1	0	3	-5	-1.4	3
13	Charleroi	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
14	Dender	4	0	1	3	-5	-5.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.4	6
2	St Truiden	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.6	6
3	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.0	6
4	Cercle Brugge	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.4	4
5	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+1	-3.1	4
6	RAAL La Louviere	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.9	4
7	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	+2	+3.0	3
8	Mechelen	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
9	Westerlo	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.2	3
10	Charleroi	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
11	Standard	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.1	1
12	Waregem	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.9	1
13	Dender	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.5	6
2	St Truiden	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.6	5
3	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.9	4
4	Cercle Brugge	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.1	3
5	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
6	Waregem	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.4	3
7	Standard	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	1	0	1	-4	-1.5	3
9	St. Gilloise	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.5	2
10	Dender	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.8	1
11	Charleroi	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
12	RAAL La Louviere	3	0	0	3	-3	-3.2	0
13	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.