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Championship
Referee: A Davies
Millwall
T T S T U
1–1
Full-time
Blackburn
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,2
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
15 Shots 2
2 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Millwall 14. · Blackburn 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Luton 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Hull 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Stoke 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Coventry 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Peterboro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
8 Peterborough 2 1 0 1 -2 3
9 Bournemouth 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 West Brom 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Fulham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Cardiff 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Barnsley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Bristol City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Blackpool 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Huddersfield 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Derby 3 0 1 2 -2 1
21 Reading 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Nott'm Forest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Swansea 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Preston 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Millwall Blackburn
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 H. Carter
↦ T. Dolan
52′
🟨 Darragh Lenihan
Maikel Kieftenbeld 🟨
60′
1–0 J. Wallace
S. Malone
64′
73′
🔁 D. Butterworth
↦ H. Pickering
74′
🔁 H. Chapman
↦ J. Buckley
76′
B. Brereton 1–1
J. Rothwell
M. Smith 🔁
↦ B. Afobe
81′
R. Leonard 🔁
↦ G. Saville
81′
82′
🟨 Daniel Ayala
B. Mitchell 🔁
↦ G. Evans
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Millwall

3-5-2
33 B. Bialkowski G
11 S. Malone M
3 M. Wallace D
28 G. Evans M
5 J. Cooper D
26 D. Ballard D
2 D. McNamara M
6 M. Kieftenbeld M
7 J. Wallace F
17 G. Saville M
23 B. Afobe F
Bench (7)
10 M. Smith
18 R. Leonard
24 B. Mitchell
9 T. Bradshaw
1 G. Long
21 C. Mahoney
15 A. Pearce

Coach: G. Rowett

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
1 T. Kaminski G
5 Daniel Ayala D
26 D. Lenihan D
27 L. Travis M
2 R. Nyambe D
3 H. Pickering D
8 J. Rothwell M
21 J. Buckley M
10 T. Dolan F
9 S. Gallagher M
22 B. Brereton M
Bench (7)
24 H. Carter
14 D. Butterworth
17 H. Chapman
36 T. Magloire
35 J. Garrett
45 J. Eastham
6 J. Davenport

Coach: T. Mowbray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,48
U ✓
3,17
B
3,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,27
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Davies · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.