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Serie B

Referee: D Rutella

Bari

T U U U S

1–0

Full-time

Ascoli

S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 23%

18%

27%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

27%

45%

Both score Ø 59%

73%

45%

Average goals

1,9

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

18 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 3

9 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 7

15 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bari 10. · Ascoli 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	11	8	2	1	+14	26
2	Venezia	11	6	3	2	+6	21
3	Catanzaro	11	6	3	2	+4	21
4	Palermo	10	6	2	2	+9	20
5	Modena	11	5	4	2	+2	19
6	Como	10	5	2	3	+1	17
7	Sudtirol	10	4	4	2	+5	16
8	Cremonese	11	4	4	3	+2	16
9	Cosenza	11	4	3	4	+3	15
10	Bari	11	2	8	1	+1	14
11	Reggiana	11	3	5	3	-1	14
12	Brescia	9	3	4	2	+2	13
13	Cittadella	11	3	4	4	-4	13
14	Ascoli	11	3	3	5	-2	12
15	Pisa	11	3	3	5	-2	12
16	Sampdoria	11	2	3	6	-5	9
17	Spezia	10	1	5	4	-5	8
18	Lecco	9	2	1	6	-8	7
19	Ternana	11	1	3	7	-5	6
20	FeralpiSalo	11	1	2	8	-17	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Venezia	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Catanzaro	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Como	5	3	1	1	+1	10
5	Modena	6	3	1	2	+0	10
6	Sudtirol	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	Cittadella	6	2	2	2	-2	8
8	Cosenza	5	2	1	2	+4	7
9	Palermo	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	Ascoli	5	2	1	2	+2	7
11	Reggiana	5	1	3	1	-1	6
12	Brescia	6	1	3	2	-1	6
13	Ternana	6	1	2	3	+0	5
14	Bari	5	0	5	0	+0	5
15	Pisa	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	Spezia	5	0	3	2	-2	3
17	Sampdoria	5	1	0	4	-3	3
18	Cremonese	6	0	3	3	-3	3
19	FeralpiSalo	5	0	1	4	-7	1
20	Lecco	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Cremonese	5	4	1	0	+5	13
3	Parma	5	4	0	1	+8	12
4	Catanzaro	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Modena	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Bari	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Sudtirol	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Venezia	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Reggiana	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Pisa	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Cosenza	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	Brescia	3	2	1	0	+3	7
13	Como	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Lecco	5	2	1	2	-2	7
15	Sampdoria	6	1	3	2	-2	6
16	Cittadella	5	1	2	2	-2	5
17	Spezia	5	1	2	2	-3	5
18	Ascoli	6	1	2	3	-4	5
19	FeralpiSalo	6	1	1	4	-10	4
20	Ternana	5	0	1	4	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.