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Serie B
Referee: G Ayroldi
Ternana
T U T U T
3–0
Full-time
Reggiana
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana Reggiana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 7%
0%
14%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,6
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 9
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ternana 19. · Reggiana 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 7 5 2 0 +11 17
2 Venezia 8 4 3 1 +5 15
3 Palermo 6 4 1 1 +7 13
4 Como 6 4 1 1 +3 13
5 Modena 7 3 3 1 +2 12
6 Catanzaro 7 3 3 1 +0 12
7 Cosenza 8 3 2 3 +2 11
8 Sudtirol 6 2 4 0 +4 10
9 Cremonese 7 2 4 1 +1 10
10 Brescia 5 2 3 0 +3 9
11 Cittadella 7 2 3 2 -3 9
12 Bari 7 1 5 1 +0 8
13 Pisa 7 2 2 3 -1 8
14 Ascoli 8 2 2 4 -2 8
15 Reggiana 7 1 4 2 -2 7
16 Sampdoria 7 1 2 4 -4 5
17 Spezia 7 1 2 4 -5 5
18 FeralpiSalo 8 1 1 6 -11 4
19 Ternana 7 0 2 5 -6 2
20 Lecco 4 0 1 3 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ternana Reggiana
1–0 A. Celli
S. Diakité
9′
2–0 S. Diakité
G. Luperini
11′
22′
🔁 C. Gondo
↦ M. Portanova
F. Dionisi 🔁
↦ A. Favilli
23′
Federico Dionisi 🟨
35′
Alessandro Celli 🟨
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. Črnigoj
↦ J. Antiste
48′
🟨 Cedric Gondo
Gregorio Luperini 🟨
49′
52′
🟨 Mario Sampirisi
Jakub Łabojko 🟨
58′
59′
🟨 Elvis Kabashi
60′
🔁 Muhamed Djamanca
↦ A. Bianco
60′
🔁 M. Pajač
↦ R. Fiamozzi
C. Favasuli 🔁
↦ F. Dionisi
62′
N. Pyyhtiä 🔁
↦ J. Łabojko
63′
75′
🔁 E. Lanini
↦ C. Gondo
Antony Iannarilli 🟨
78′
F. Distefano 🔁
↦ A. Raimondo
89′
V. Mantovani 🔁
↦ N. Corrado
89′
3–0 F. Distefano
G. Luperini
92′
Filippo Distefano 🟨
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Ternana

3-4-1-2
1 A. Iannarilli G
23 S. Diakité D
19 M. Capuano D
3 A. Celli D
15 T. Casasola M
71 G. Luperini M
25 J. Łabojko M
91 N. Corrado M
10 C. Falletti F
17 A. Favilli F
9 A. Raimondo F
Bench (12)
65 F. Dionisi
27 C. Favasuli
66 N. Pyyhtiä
28 F. Distefano
13 V. Mantovani
8 K. de Boer
77 Gabriel Brazão
4 F. Sørensen
33 C. Travaglini
6 Txus Alba
44 L. Lucchesi
73 A. Mărginean

Coach: C. Lucarelli

Reggiana

4-3-1-2
22 F. Bardi G
31 M. Sampirisi D
25 P. Szymiński D
27 A. Marcandalli D
15 R. Fiamozzi D
24 F. Nardi M
77 E. Kabashi M
42 A. Bianco M
90 M. Portanova M
28 J. Antiste F
23 S. Pettinari F
Bench (12)
11 C. Gondo
33 D. Črnigoj
7 Muhamed Djamanca
29 M. Pajač
10 E. Lanini
80 N. Girma
17 L. Libutti
3 E. Pieragnolo
1 A. Sposito
12 G. Satalino
4 P. Rozzio
8 L. Cigarini

Coach: A. Nesta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,13
U
3,26
B
3,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.