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Ligue 2

Referee: G Paradis

Caen

S S T T T

0–1

Full-time

Guingamp

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 7/8 matches

Win Ø 48%

57%

38%

Points per game

1,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

57%

63%

Both score Ø 41%

43%

38%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,7

1,6

Conceded

0,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

7 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 5

17 Free kicks against 21

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 8. · Guingamp 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	8	6	1	1	+6	19
2	Grenoble	8	4	4	0	+5	16
3	Auxerre	8	4	3	1	+9	15
4	Rodez	8	4	2	2	+4	14
5	Angers	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	St Etienne	8	4	2	2	+2	14
7	Amiens	8	4	2	2	+1	14
8	Caen	7	4	0	3	+6	12
9	Guingamp	8	3	2	3	+5	11
10	Pau FC	8	3	2	3	-1	11
11	Bordeaux	7	3	2	2	-1	11
12	Annecy	8	2	4	2	-1	10
13	Ajaccio	8	2	4	2	-4	10
14	Bastia	8	2	2	4	-5	8
15	Concarneau	8	2	2	4	-5	8
16	Troyes	9	1	4	4	-2	7
17	Paris FC	8	2	0	6	-4	6
18	Dunkerque	7	1	3	3	-4	6
19	Valenciennes	8	1	3	4	-7	6
20	Quevilly Rouen	8	0	2	6	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	4	4	0	0	+4	12
2	Amiens	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Rodez	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Angers	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Grenoble	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Guingamp	4	2	1	1	+6	7
7	Pau FC	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Caen	4	2	0	2	+3	6
9	Paris FC	4	2	0	2	+3	6
10	Bordeaux	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Ajaccio	4	1	3	0	+1	6
12	Bastia	4	2	0	2	-2	6
13	Auxerre	4	1	2	1	+3	5
14	Annecy	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Troyes	4	1	1	2	+0	4
16	St Etienne	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Dunkerque	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Concarneau	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Quevilly Rouen	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Valenciennes	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	St Etienne	5	3	1	1	+2	10
3	Grenoble	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Laval	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Caen	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Concarneau	4	2	0	2	-2	6
7	Angers	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	Rodez	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Annecy	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Bordeaux	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Valenciennes	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Guingamp	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Dunkerque	3	1	1	1	-2	4
14	Pau FC	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Ajaccio	4	1	1	2	-5	4
16	Troyes	5	0	3	2	-2	3
17	Amiens	3	1	0	2	-4	3
18	Bastia	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Quevilly Rouen	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Paris FC	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.