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Ligue 2

Referee: R Delpech

Rodez

U S S S T

5–3

Full-time

Caen

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 44%

44%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

67%

44%

Both score Ø 61%

78%

44%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

49% Possession 51%

19 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 7

5 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rodez 7. · Caen 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	10	8	1	1	+8	25
2	Grenoble	9	5	4	0	+7	19
3	Auxerre	9	5	3	1	+11	18
4	Angers	9	5	2	2	+4	17
5	St Etienne	9	5	2	2	+4	17
6	Guingamp	9	4	2	3	+6	14
7	Rodez	9	4	2	3	+2	14
8	Pau FC	9	4	2	3	+0	14
9	Amiens	9	4	2	3	+0	14
10	Caen	9	4	1	4	+5	13
11	Ajaccio	9	3	4	2	-2	13
12	Bordeaux	10	3	3	4	-4	12
13	Annecy	9	2	5	2	-1	11
14	Bastia	9	2	2	5	-7	8
15	Concarneau	9	2	2	5	-7	8
16	Troyes	9	1	4	4	-2	7
17	Paris FC	9	2	1	6	-4	7
18	Dunkerque	9	1	3	5	-7	6
19	Valenciennes	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Quevilly Rouen	9	1	2	6	-5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	5	5	0	0	+5	15
2	Angers	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	Amiens	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Grenoble	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Pau FC	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Rodez	4	3	0	1	+4	9
7	Ajaccio	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Auxerre	5	2	2	1	+5	8
9	Guingamp	4	2	1	1	+6	7
10	St Etienne	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Bordeaux	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Paris FC	4	2	0	2	+3	6
13	Caen	5	2	0	3	+2	6
14	Annecy	5	1	3	1	+0	6
15	Bastia	4	2	0	2	-2	6
16	Troyes	4	1	1	2	+0	4
17	Dunkerque	5	0	2	3	-3	2
18	Concarneau	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Quevilly Rouen	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Valenciennes	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Laval	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	St Etienne	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Grenoble	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Caen	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Guingamp	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Angers	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	Concarneau	5	2	0	3	-4	6
9	Annecy	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Rodez	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Valenciennes	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Bordeaux	5	1	2	2	-4	5
13	Quevilly Rouen	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Pau FC	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Dunkerque	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Ajaccio	4	1	1	2	-5	4
17	Troyes	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Amiens	4	1	0	3	-5	3
19	Bastia	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	Paris FC	5	0	1	4	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.