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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Wolfgang Haslberger
Karlsruhe
S S U S T
1–0
Full-time
Magdeburg
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Magdeburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,2
4,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 21
6 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karlsruhe 7. · Magdeburg 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Darmstadt 7 5 1 1 +8 +0.9 16
2 Schalke 04 7 5 0 2 +4 +0.8 15
3 Elversberg 6 4 1 1 +5 -2.9 13
4 Hannover 6 4 1 1 +3 +2.5 13
5 Kaiserslautern 6 4 0 2 +7 -0.2 12
6 Paderborn 6 3 2 1 +3 +2.8 11
7 Karlsruhe 6 3 2 1 +1 +0.3 11
8 Bielefeld 6 3 1 2 +5 +1.7 10
9 Holstein Kiel 6 3 0 3 +2 +0.1 9
10 Greuther Furth 7 3 0 4 -3 -0.2 9
11 Preußen Münster 6 2 1 3 -3 -2.5 7
12 Braunschweig 6 2 1 3 -4 -1.1 7
13 Fortuna Dusseldorf 6 2 1 3 -7 -3.5 7
14 Hertha 6 1 2 3 -2 -1.9 5
15 Dresden 7 1 2 4 -4 +1.8 5
16 Nurnberg 6 1 1 4 -3 +0.1 4
17 Bochum 6 1 0 5 -5 +1.8 3
18 Magdeburg 6 1 0 5 -7 -0.5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karlsruhe Magdeburg
Half-time 0–0
Marcel Beifus 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 M. Geschwill
↦ T. Muller
D. Burnic 🔁
↦ A. Muller
64′
64′
🔁 D. Stalmach
↦ B. Atik
S. Fukuda 🔁
↦ F. Schleusener
70′
R. Simic 🔁
↦ P. Forster
70′
71′
🟨 Silas Gnaka
75′
🔁 L. Hyrylainen
↦ S. Gnaka
75′
🔁 A. Onaiwu
↦ M. Breunig
82′
🟨 Luka Hyryläinen
83′
🟨 Max Geschwill
1–0 C. Kobald
M. Wanitzek
84′
86′
🟨 Rayan Ghrieb
87′
🔁 K. Diawara
↦ R. Ghrieb
M. Kritzer 🔁
↦ L. Egloff
89′
92′
🟨 Lubambo Musonda
Shio Fukuda  🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Marcus Mathisen
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Karlsruhe

5-3-2
1 C. Bernat G
36 R. Pinto Pedrosa D
22 C. Kobald D
6 N. Rapp D
4 M. Beifus D
20 D. Herold D
25 L. Egloff M
16 A. Muller M
10 M. Wanitzek M
11 P. Forster F
24 F. Schleusener F
Bench (9)
30 R. Himmelmann
15 P. Scholl
42 D. H. Zor
34 M. Kritzer
17 L. Opitz
7 D. Burnic
35 R. Geller
13 S. Fukuda
9 R. Simic

Coach: Christian Eichner

Magdeburg

3-3-1-3
1 D. Reimann G
24 J. Hugonet D
16 M. Mathisen D
5 T. Muller D
19 L. Musonda M
25 S. Gnaka M
17 A. Nollenberger M
8 L. Ulrich M
29 R. Ghrieb F
9 M. Breunig F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (9)
30 N. Kruth
27 P. Hercher
28 M. Geschwill
6 D. Stalmach
10 N. Pesch
21 F. Michel
38 L. Hyrylainen
39 K. Diawara
45 A. Onaiwu

Coach: Markus Fiedler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,10
U
3,71
B
3,00
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,52
U2,5 ✓
2,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.