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Serie B

Referee: Kevin Bonacina

Mantova

T T S T T

1–5

Full-time

Frosinone

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mantova Frosinone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

68% Possession 32%

28 Shots 22

9 Shots on target 9

7 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 8

6 Corners 4

0 Offside 5

16 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mantova 17. · Frosinone 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Modena	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Palermo	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Cesena	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Frosinone	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Juve Stabia	5	1	4	0	+2	7
6	Monza	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Avellino	4	2	1	1	+0	7
8	Carrarese	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Reggiana	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Catanzaro	5	0	5	0	+0	5
11	Sudtirol	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Venezia	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Virtus Entella	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Pescara	4	1	1	2	+1	4
15	Padova	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Empoli	4	1	1	2	-4	4
17	Mantova	4	1	0	3	-3	3
18	Spezia	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Bari	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Sampdoria	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Monza	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Modena	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Pescara	3	1	1	1	+2	4
5	Reggiana	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Empoli	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Virtus Entella	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Catanzaro	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Venezia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Sudtirol	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Padova	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Mantova	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Juve Stabia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Carrarese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Modena	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Juve Stabia	3	1	2	0	+2	5
4	Carrarese	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Avellino	3	1	1	1	-1	4
7	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Sudtirol	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Catanzaro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Venezia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Monza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Virtus Entella	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Reggiana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Padova	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Mantova	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Bari	3	0	0	3	-6	0
20	Empoli	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.