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Ligue 2

Referee: Mikael Lesage

St Etienne

S U S S S

2–3

Full-time

Guingamp

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 2 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 57%

71%

43%

Points per game

2,4

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

57%

71%

Both score Ø 57%

57%

Average goals

3,1

3,7

Scored

2,1

1,6

Conceded

1,0

2,1

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%

13 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 7

7 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 2. · Guingamp 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	8	6	1	1	+10	19
2	St Etienne	7	5	2	0	+8	17
3	Pau FC	8	5	2	1	+6	17
4	Reims	8	4	2	2	+3	14
5	Red Star	7	4	1	2	+5	13
6	Montpellier	8	3	2	3	+0	11
7	Nancy	8	3	2	3	-1	11
8	Rodez	8	3	2	3	-3	11
9	Clermont	8	2	4	2	-2	10
10	Guingamp	7	3	1	3	-4	10
11	Dunkerque	8	2	3	3	+2	9
12	Amiens	8	2	3	3	-1	9
13	Le Mans	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Annecy	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Laval	8	1	4	3	-4	7
16	Grenoble	8	1	3	4	-4	6
17	Boulogne	7	2	0	5	-4	6
18	Bastia	8	0	3	5	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Reims	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Pau FC	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Dunkerque	5	2	2	1	+4	8
5	St Etienne	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Guingamp	4	2	1	1	-2	7
7	Le Mans	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Clermont	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Grenoble	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Rodez	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Nancy	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Red Star	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Boulogne	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Annecy	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Amiens	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Laval	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Bastia	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	St Etienne	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Pau FC	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Amiens	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Nancy	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Montpellier	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Annecy	5	2	0	3	-2	6
8	Rodez	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	Laval	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Reims	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Clermont	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Troyes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Boulogne	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Le Mans	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Guingamp	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Bastia	5	0	2	3	-4	2
17	Dunkerque	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Grenoble	4	0	1	3	-3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.