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Championship
Referee: Elliot Bell
Stoke
S T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Norwich
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Norwich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,85 xG 1,32
58% Possession 42%
23 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stoke 3. · Norwich 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 6 5 1 0 +7 +2.5 16
2 Coventry 7 3 4 0 +11 +8.8 13
3 Stoke 6 4 0 2 +5 +0.2 12
4 Leicester 7 3 3 1 +3 -2.2 12
5 Bristol City 6 3 2 1 +6 -0.0 11
6 Preston 6 3 2 1 +2 +0.1 11
7 West Brom 7 3 2 2 +1 +1.7 11
8 Millwall 7 3 2 2 -2 +1.7 11
9 QPR 6 3 1 2 -2 -1.9 10
10 Birmingham 7 3 1 3 -3 +2.1 10
11 Swansea 7 2 3 2 +1 +0.5 9
12 Wrexham 7 2 2 3 -1 -5.4 8
13 Charlton 6 2 2 2 -1 +1.1 8
14 Portsmouth 6 2 2 2 -1 +1.0 8
15 Hull 6 2 2 2 -2 -1.8 8
16 Norwich 6 2 1 3 +0 -3.5 7
17 Ipswich 5 1 3 1 +4 +4.9 6
18 Blackburn 5 2 0 3 +0 +1.0 6
19 Southampton 6 1 3 2 -2 +2.9 6
20 Derby 7 1 3 3 -4 -5.9 6
21 Oxford 6 1 2 3 -1 -0.9 5
22 Watford 6 1 2 3 -2 -1.0 5
23 Sheffield Weds 6 1 1 4 -7 -3.2 4
24 Sheffield United 6 0 0 6 -12 -2.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stoke Norwich
26′
J. Makama 0–1
J. Stacey
Half-time 1–1
1–1 S. Thomas
48′
54′
🔁 A. Crnac
↦ J. Makama
68′
🔁 J. Schlupp
↦ O. Schwartau
74′
🟨 Harry Darling
76′
🟨 Kenny McLean
L. Cisse 🔁
↦ M. Manhoef
82′
S. N'Zonzi 🔁
↦ T. Rigo
89′
89′
🔁 M. Topic
↦ L. Gibbs
92′
🟨 Kellen Fisher
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stoke

4-2-3-1
1 V. Johansson G
22 J. Tchamadeu D
18 B. Lawal
16 B. Wilmot D
3 A. Cresswell D
19 T. Rigo M
12 T. Seko M
42 M. Manhoef M
10 J. Bae M
7 S. Thomas M
9 D. Mubama F
Bench (9)
13 J. Bonham
26 A. Phillips
40 M. Talovierov
17 E. Bocat
4 B. Pearson
15 S. N'Zonzi
14 J. Donley
29 L. Cisse
11 R. Bozenik

Coach: Mark Gordon Robins

Norwich

4-2-3-1
1 V. Kovacevic G
3 J. Stacey D
5 J. Medic D
6 H. Darling D
35 K. Fisher D
7 P. Mattsson M
23 K. McLean M
24 J. Makama M
8 L. Gibbs M
29 O. Schwartau M
9 J. Sargent F
Bench (9)
32 D. Grimshaw
33 J. Cordoba
15 R. McConville
27 J. Schlupp
22 M. Topic
16 J. Wright
11 E. Marcondes
10 M. Jurasek
17 A. Crnac

Coach: Liam Manning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,02
U ✓
3,51
B
3,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,89
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Elliot Bell · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.