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Super League

Referee: Nico Gianforte

Lugano

S S T T U

2–1

Full-time

Grasshoppers

T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Grasshoppers

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,74 xG 1,30

60% Possession 40%

12 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 10

4 Blocked shots 2

9 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 9

4 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lugano 11. · Grasshoppers 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	6	5	0	1	+10	+6.0	15
2	Thun	6	4	1	1	+5	-1.1	13
3	Basel	6	4	0	2	+4	+5.7	12
4	Young Boys	6	3	2	1	+2	-0.9	11
5	Sion	6	3	1	2	+3	-0.3	10
6	Zurich	6	3	1	2	-1	-1.0	10
7	Luzern	6	2	2	2	+0	-2.5	8
8	Grasshoppers	6	1	3	2	+0	-3.6	6
9	Servette	6	1	2	3	-4	-0.1	5
10	Lausanne	6	1	1	4	-4	+2.4	4
11	Lugano	6	1	1	4	-6	+1.8	4
12	Winterthur	6	0	2	4	-9	-6.3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	4	3	0	1	+6	+2.1	9
2	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.3	7
3	Basel	2	2	0	0	+4	+5.3	6
4	Grasshoppers	3	1	1	1	+1	-0.2	4
5	Lugano	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.3	4
6	Thun	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.9	4
7	Sion	3	1	0	2	+1	-1.2	3
8	Lausanne	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.0	3
9	Zurich	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.1	3
10	Servette	3	0	2	1	-3	+0.4	2
11	Luzern	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.0	1
12	Winterthur	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.8	9
2	Zurich	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.1	7
3	Luzern	3	2	1	0	+2	-2.5	7
4	Sion	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.8	7
5	St. Gallen	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.9	6
6	Basel	4	2	0	2	+0	+0.4	6
7	Young Boys	3	1	1	1	-2	-3.1	4
8	Servette	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.5	3
9	Grasshoppers	3	0	2	1	-1	-3.4	2
10	Lausanne	3	0	1	2	-3	+1.4	1
11	Winterthur	3	0	1	2	-6	-4.5	1
12	Lugano	3	0	0	3	-7	+1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.