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Premiership

Referee: L Wilson

Hearts

S S U S S

3–0

Full-time

Falkirk

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Falkirk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 52%

83%

20%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

50%

80%

Both score Ø 65%

50%

80%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

2,2

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,4

This season — Premiership · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

80%

20%

Points per game

2,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 70%

60%

80%

Average goals

3,6

3,2

Scored

2,4

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%

20 Shots 10

10 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 5

7 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 2. · Falkirk 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	5	4	1	0	+7	+2.5	13
2	Hearts	5	4	1	0	+6	+0.8	13
3	Dundee United	5	2	2	1	+3	-1.0	8
4	Hibernian	5	1	4	0	+1	+1.1	7
5	St Mirren	5	1	3	1	+0	-1.5	6
6	Dundee	6	1	3	2	-2	-2.0	6
7	Motherwell	5	0	5	0	+0	+1.8	5
8	Falkirk	5	1	2	2	-2	-0.7	5
9	Livingston	6	1	2	3	-3	+0.6	5
10	Kilmarnock	5	0	4	1	-1	-0.1	4
11	Rangers	5	0	4	1	-2	-0.9	4
12	Aberdeen	5	0	1	4	-7	-0.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.8	6
2	Hearts	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.1	4
3	Dundee	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.8	4
4	Livingston	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.8	3
5	Dundee United	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.9	3
6	Hibernian	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.3	3
7	Motherwell	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.0	2
8	St Mirren	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.2	2
9	Falkirk	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.1	2
10	Kilmarnock	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.2	2
11	Rangers	3	0	2	1	-2	+1.2	2
12	Aberdeen	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	3	3	0	0	+4	+0.9	9
2	Celtic	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.7	7
3	Dundee United	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.1	5
4	Hibernian	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.8	4
5	St Mirren	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.8	4
6	Motherwell	3	0	3	0	+0	-0.2	3
7	Falkirk	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.8	3
8	Kilmarnock	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.3	2
9	Rangers	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.0	2
10	Dundee	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.2	2
11	Livingston	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.2	2
12	Aberdeen	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.