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Süper Lig

Referee: Mehmet Turkmen

Karagumruk

T S T T T

3–4

Full-time

Trabzonspor

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Trabzonspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,3

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,3

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

1,70 xG 1,77

44% Possession 56%

13 Shots 22

3 Shots on target 11

4 Blocked shots 6

7 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karagumruk 17. · Trabzonspor 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	7	0	0	+17	+10.1	21
2	Goztep	7	3	4	0	+8	+3.2	13
3	Fenerbahce	6	3	3	0	+5	+8.4	12
4	Samsunspor	7	3	3	1	+2	+1.4	12
5	Trabzonspor	6	3	2	1	+2	+0.1	11
6	Gaziantep	7	3	2	2	-2	-1.5	11
7	Antalyaspor	6	3	1	2	+1	-1.6	10
8	Alanyaspor	7	2	3	2	+1	-3.0	9
9	Besiktas	5	3	0	2	+1	+3.9	9
10	Konyaspor	5	2	1	2	+3	-0.4	7
11	Buyuksehyr	5	1	3	1	+1	-0.8	6
12	Kasimpasa	6	1	2	3	-2	-0.5	5
13	Rizespor	5	1	2	2	-4	-0.5	5
14	Eyüpspor	7	1	2	4	-6	-5.4	5
15	Kayserispor	6	0	4	2	-8	-5.4	4
16	Genclerbirligi	6	1	0	5	-5	-2.9	3
17	Karagumruk	6	1	0	5	-8	-4.1	3
18	Kocaelispor	6	0	2	4	-6	-1.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+7	+3.6	9
2	Trabzonspor	4	2	2	0	+2	+2.3	8
3	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+3	+7.1	7
4	Samsunspor	4	2	1	1	+1	+2.3	7
5	Gaziantep	4	2	1	1	+0	+2.3	7
6	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.7	6
7	Goztep	3	1	2	0	+3	+1.4	5
8	Alanyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.3	4
9	Antalyaspor	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.2	4
10	Eyüpspor	4	1	1	2	-4	-3.9	4
11	Konyaspor	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.0	3
12	Buyuksehyr	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.7	3
13	Genclerbirligi	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.1	3
14	Rizespor	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.5	3
15	Kocaelispor	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.6	2
16	Kasimpasa	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.9	1
17	Kayserispor	3	0	1	2	-8	-4.6	1
18	Karagumruk	3	0	0	3	-5	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	4	0	0	+10	+6.5	12
2	Goztep	4	2	2	0	+5	+1.8	8
3	Antalyaspor	3	2	0	1	+1	-1.8	6
4	Fenerbahce	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.2	5
5	Samsunspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.9	5
6	Alanyaspor	4	1	2	1	+0	-1.7	5
7	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.4	4
8	Kasimpasa	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.4	4
9	Gaziantep	3	1	1	1	-2	-3.8	4
10	Buyuksehyr	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.4	3
11	Kayserispor	3	0	3	0	+0	-0.8	3
12	Trabzonspor	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.1	3
13	Besiktas	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.2	3
14	Karagumruk	3	1	0	2	-3	-3.2	3
15	Rizespor	3	0	2	1	-2	-1.0	2
16	Eyüpspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.6	1
17	Genclerbirligi	3	0	0	3	-3	-2.8	0
18	Kocaelispor	3	0	0	3	-5	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.