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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Pawel Malec
Piast Gliwice
U U U T S
4–2
Full-time
Nieciecza
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Piast Gliwice Nieciecza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,3
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/9 matches
Win Ø 11%
0%
22%
Points per game
0,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 24%
14%
33%
Both score Ø 43%
29%
56%
Average goals
1,4
2,7
Scored
0,4
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

48% Possession 52%
20 Shots 22
7 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Piast Gliwice 18. · Nieciecza 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Korona Kielce 10 5 3 2 +7 -2.1 18
2 Gornik Zabrze 9 6 0 3 +7 -0.2 18
3 Cracovia 8 5 2 1 +7 +2.5 17
4 Wisla Plock 9 5 2 2 +5 +6.2 17
5 Jagiellonia 8 5 2 1 +4 -2.5 17
6 Lech Poznan 8 4 2 2 +1 +6.0 14
7 Legia 8 3 3 2 +5 +3.6 12
8 Radomiak Radom 9 3 2 4 -1 -0.1 11
9 Lechia Gdansk 10 3 2 5 -7 -2.9 11
10 Zaglebie 8 2 4 2 +3 -1.8 10
11 Widzew Lodz 9 3 1 5 +1 +2.2 10
12 Motor Lublin 8 2 4 2 -3 -1.0 10
13 Pogon Szczecin 9 3 1 5 -4 +2.0 10
14 Nieciecza 9 2 3 4 -2 -0.2 9
15 Arka Gdynia 9 2 3 4 -5 -3.8 9
16 Rakow 8 2 2 4 -4 -0.3 8
17 GKS Katowice 10 2 2 6 -10 -6.8 8
18 Piast Gliwice 7 0 4 3 -4 -0.7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Piast Gliwice Nieciecza
9′
D. Hilbrycht 0–1
M. Fassbender
20′
A. Trubeha 0–2
K. Kubica
Igor Drapiński 🟨
29′
32′
🟨 Andrzej Trubeha
1–2 A. Dalmau
40′
Half-time 1–2
E. Jirka 🔁
↦ Q. Boisgard
46′
46′
🔁 J. Jimenez
↦ K. Zapolnik
50′
🟨 Maciej Ambrosiewicz
2–2 L. Sanca
J. Felix
51′
60′
🔁 R. Kurzawa
↦ M. Fassbender
60′
🔁 S. Guerrero
↦ A. Trubeha
2–3 A. Trubeha
own goal
60′
Adrian Dalmau ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
69′
Adrian Dalmau 🟥
70′
L. Pitan 🔁
↦ L. Sanca
75′
G. Barkovskiy 🔁
↦ J. Lokilo
75′
O. Lesniak 🔁
↦ G. Tomasiewicz
81′
83′
🔁 W. Jakubik
↦ R. Boboc
83′
🔁 I. Strzalek
↦ D. Hilbrycht
M. Chrapek 🔁
↦ J. Felix
85′
88′
🟨 Jesús Jiménez
3–3 E. Jirka
P. Dziczek
90′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Piast Gliwice

4-4-1-1
26 F. Plach G
22 T. Mokwa D
5 Juande D
29 I. Drapinski D
20 G. Tomasiewicz D
98 J. Lokilo M
17 Q. Boisgard M
10 P. Dziczek M
11 L. Sanca M
7 J. Felix F
9 A. Dalmau F
Bench (12)
33 K. Szymanski
79 D. Rychta
4 J. Czerwinski
28 F. Borowski
36 J. Lewicki
15 L. Pitan
31 O. Lesniak
6 M. Chrapek
77 E. Jirka
23 S. Mucha
80 H. Vallejo
63 G. Barkovskiy

Coach: Max Mölder

Nieciecza

3-4-3
99 M. Mleczko G
29 G. Isik D
2 B. Kopacz D
3 A. Kasperkiewicz D
27 R. Boboc M
13 K. Kubica M
28 M. Ambrosiewicz M
21 D. Hilbrycht M
7 M. Fassbender F
25 K. Zapolnik F
53 A. Trubeha F
Bench (8)
1 A. Chovan
5 L. Masoero
8 R. Kurzawa
9 J. Jimenez
23 S. Guerrero
26 W. Jakubik
77 A. Putivtsev
86 I. Strzalek

Coach: Marcin Brosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.