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Premiership
Referee: R Lee
Motherwell
U U U U U
2–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,3
This season — Premiership · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
40%
0%
Both score Ø 40%
80%
0%
Average goals
2,8
1,4
Scored
1,4
0,0
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
10 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 8. · Aberdeen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 6 5 1 0 +9 +0.8 16
2 Celtic 6 4 2 0 +7 +2.5 14
3 St Mirren 6 2 3 1 +1 -1.5 9
4 Dundee United 6 2 2 2 +1 -1.0 8
5 Hibernian 6 1 5 0 +1 +1.1 8
6 Kilmarnock 6 1 4 1 +1 -0.1 7
7 Dundee 7 1 3 3 -3 -2.0 6
8 Motherwell 5 0 5 0 +0 +1.8 5
9 Livingston 6 1 2 3 -3 +0.6 5
10 Falkirk 6 1 2 3 -5 -0.7 5
11 Rangers 5 0 4 1 -2 -0.9 4
12 Aberdeen 5 0 1 4 -7 -0.6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Aberdeen
33′
🟨 Mats Knoester
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Dorrington
↦ M. Knoester
46′
🔁 T. Keskinen
↦ E. Gyamfi
55′
🟨 Kristers Tobers
61′
🔁 L. Clarkson
↦ G. Shinnie
61′
🔁 A. Jensen
↦ K. Tobers
72′
🟨 Ante Palaversa
J. Koutroumbis 🔁
↦ S. O'Donnell
74′
80′
🔁 M. Lazetic
↦ K. Nisbet
D. E. Osong 🔁
↦ R. Charles-Cook
85′
1–0 J. Koutroumbis
A. Stamatelopoulos
90′
2–0 A. Stamatelopoulos
90′
K. Balmer 🔁
↦ S. Welsh
94′
A. Halliday 🔁
↦ I. Said
94′
Detlef Esapa Osong ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
96′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
13 C. Ward G
2 S. O'Donnell D
4 L. Gordon D
57 S. Welsh D
45 E. Longelo D
12 L. Fadinger M
20 E. Watt M
18 T. Maswanhise M
90 I. Said M
77 R. Charles-Cook M
9 A. Stamatelopoulos F
Bench (9)
1 A. Oxborough
5 K. Balmer
11 A. Halliday
24 D. E. Osong
25 O. Priestman
22 J. Koutroumbis
28 L. Ross
39 Z. McAllister
42 R. McColm

Coach: Jens Berthel Askou

Aberdeen

3-4-2-1
1 D. Mitov G
24 K. Tobers D
22 J. Milne D
5 M. Knoester D
2 N. Devlin M
18 A. Palaversa M
4 G. Shinnie M
77 E. Gyamfi
7 A. Aouchiche F
17 J. Karlsson F
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
13 N. Suman
6 S. Nilsen
10 L. Clarkson
11 N. Milanovic
14 K. Bilalovic
26 A. Dorrington
27 M. Lazetic
28 A. Jensen
81 T. Keskinen

Coach: Bo Jimmy Thelin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,14
U
3,43
B
3,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,88
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Lee · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.