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Bundesliga

Referee: Sebastian Gishamer

Ried

T S S T T

0–0

Full-time

Grazer AK

U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ried Grazer AK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,8

This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 15%

29%

Points per game

1,0

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

57%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

1,4

0,7

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

58% Possession 42%

12 Shots 2

1 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ried 9. · Grazer AK 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	SK Rapid	7	5	2	0	+7	+0.8	17
2	Sturm Graz	6	4	0	2	+7	+2.9	12
3	Altach	7	3	3	1	+3	+1.1	12
4	Salzburg	7	3	2	2	+5	+4.2	11
5	Wolfsberger AC	7	3	2	2	+4	+0.1	11
6	Hartberg	7	3	1	3	+1	-0.4	10
7	Austria Vienna	7	3	1	3	-2	+0.0	10
8	Tirol	6	2	3	1	+1	+3.9	9
9	Ried	7	2	1	4	-2	-2.4	7
10	LASK	7	2	0	5	-7	-5.0	6
11	BW Linz	7	1	1	5	-6	-2.2	4
12	Grazer AK	7	0	4	3	-11	-3.0	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Altach	4	2	2	0	+2	+0.9	8
2	Salzburg	4	2	1	1	+6	+2.7	7
3	Tirol	3	2	1	0	+4	+3.9	7
4	SK Rapid	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.8	7
5	Wolfsberger AC	4	2	0	2	+2	-0.1	6
6	LASK	4	2	0	2	-1	-2.9	6
7	Austria Vienna	4	2	0	2	-2	-0.2	6
8	BW Linz	3	1	0	2	+0	-1.3	3
9	Grazer AK	4	0	3	1	-3	-0.2	3
10	Hartberg	3	0	1	2	-2	–	1
11	Ried	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.5	1
12	Sturm Graz	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	4	4	0	0	+9	+2.9	12
2	SK Rapid	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.0	10
3	Hartberg	4	3	0	1	+3	-0.4	9
4	Ried	4	2	0	2	+2	-0.9	6
5	Wolfsberger AC	3	1	2	0	+2	+0.2	5
6	Altach	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.1	4
7	Austria Vienna	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.2	4
8	Salzburg	3	1	1	1	-1	+1.5	4
9	Tirol	3	0	2	1	-3	–	2
10	BW Linz	4	0	1	3	-6	-0.8	1
11	Grazer AK	3	0	1	2	-8	-2.7	1
12	LASK	3	0	0	3	-6	-2.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.