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DFB-Pokal

Referee: L Erbst

ZFC Meuselwitz

0–5

Full-time

Karlsruhe

U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Cottbus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Illertissen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Eintracht Norderstedt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Pirmasens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	BFC Dynamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Sportfreunde Lotte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
30	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	1	0	0	1	-4	0
31	FV Engers 07	1	0	0	1	-5	0
32	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-5	0
33	Bahlinger SC	1	0	0	1	-5	0
34	Hemelingen	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Cottbus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Illertissen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Eintracht Norderstedt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Pirmasens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
8	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	BFC Dynamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Sportfreunde Lotte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
13	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	1	0	0	1	-4	0
14	FV Engers 07	1	0	0	1	-5	0
15	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-5	0
16	Bahlinger SC	1	0	0	1	-5	0
17	Hemelingen	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

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B ✓

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Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

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U1,5

–

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O2,5 ✓

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U2,5

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O3,5 ✓

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U3,5

–

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Both teams to score

BLS ja

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BLS nei ✓

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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

L Erbst · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,8 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

25,3 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee