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2. Bundesliga
Referee: P Alt
Magdeburg
S T U S S
2–2
Full-time
Karlsruhe
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Karlsruhe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
60%
80%
Points per game
2,2
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
80%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 5. · Karlsruhe 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fortuna Dusseldorf 6 4 2 0 +6 14
2 Karlsruhe 5 4 1 0 +5 13
3 Paderborn 6 3 3 0 +4 12
4 Hamburg 6 3 2 1 +8 11
5 Magdeburg 5 3 2 0 +7 11
6 Hannover 6 3 1 2 +3 10
7 Hertha 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Greuther Furth 6 2 3 1 +4 9
9 FC Koln 6 2 2 2 +5 8
10 Kaiserslautern 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 Nurnberg 6 2 1 3 -4 7
12 Elversberg 5 1 3 1 +3 6
13 Darmstadt 6 1 2 3 -6 5
14 Schalke 04 6 1 1 4 -4 4
15 Braunschweig 6 1 1 4 -10 4
16 Regensburg 5 1 0 4 -12 3
17 Preußen Münster 5 0 2 3 -6 2
18 Ulm 5 0 1 4 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Magdeburg Karlsruhe
1–0 X. Amaechi
5′
7′
🟨 Marcel Beifus
24′
L. Jensen 1–1
L. Günther
30′
M. Wanitzek 1–2
F. Schleusener
Half-time 1–2
P. Hercher 🔁
↦ L. Musonda
46′
C. Krempicki 🔁
↦ A. El-Zein
46′
L. Burcu 🔁
↦ B. Atik
46′
46′
🔁 C. Kobald
↦ M. Franke
55′
🟨 Dženis Burnić
T. Ito 🔁
↦ X. Amaechi
60′
Marcus Mathisen 🟨
62′
Daniel Heber 🟨
63′
75′
🟨 Budu Zivzivadze
77′
🔁 B. Conté
↦ D. Burnić
78′
🔁 A. Hunziker
↦ F. Schleusener
2–2 P. Hercher
T. Ito
78′
81′
🔁 D. Herold
↦ L. Günther
89′
🔁 R. Heußer
↦ L. Jensen
Martijn Kaars 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Magdeburg

3-4-3
1 D. Reimann G
24 J. Hugonet D
16 M. Mathisen D
15 D. Heber D
19 L. Musonda M
14 A. El-Zein M
25 S. Gnaka M
11 M. El Hankouri M
20 X. Amaechi F
9 M. Kaars F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (9)
27 P. Hercher
13 C. Krempicki
29 L. Burcu
37 T. Ito
30 N. Kruth
5 T. Müller
21 F. Michel
17 A. Nollenberger
3 A. Hoti

Coach: C. Titz

Karlsruhe

4-2-2-2
1 M. Weiß G
2 S. Jung D
28 M. Franke D
4 M. Beifus D
29 L. Günther D
17 N. Rapp M
6 L. Jensen M
7 D. Burnić M
10 M. Wanitzek M
24 F. Schleusener F
11 B. Zivzivadze F
Bench (9)
22 C. Kobald
31 B. Conté
9 A. Hunziker
20 D. Herold
5 R. Heußer
30 R. Himmelmann
35 R. Geller
16 L. Pfeiffer
36 R. Pedrosa

Coach: C. Eichner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,74
U ✓
3,65
B
2,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,42
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Alt · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.