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Championship

Referee: Andrew Kitchen

Ipswich

U U T U S

2–1

Full-time

Portsmouth

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich Portsmouth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Championship · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 27%

20%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

40%

17%

Both score Ø 47%

60%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,5

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,53 xG 0,89

50% Possession 50%

14 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ipswich 17. · Portsmouth 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Middlesbrough	6	5	1	0	+7	+2.5	16
2	Coventry	7	3	4	0	+11	+8.8	13
3	Stoke	6	4	0	2	+5	+0.2	12
4	Leicester	7	3	3	1	+3	-2.2	12
5	Bristol City	6	3	2	1	+6	-0.0	11
6	Preston	6	3	2	1	+2	+0.1	11
7	West Brom	7	3	2	2	+1	+1.7	11
8	Millwall	7	3	2	2	-2	+1.7	11
9	QPR	6	3	1	2	-2	-1.9	10
10	Birmingham	7	3	1	3	-3	+2.1	10
11	Swansea	7	2	3	2	+1	+0.5	9
12	Wrexham	7	2	2	3	-1	-5.4	8
13	Charlton	6	2	2	2	-1	+1.1	8
14	Portsmouth	6	2	2	2	-1	+1.0	8
15	Hull	6	2	2	2	-2	-1.8	8
16	Norwich	6	2	1	3	+0	-3.5	7
17	Ipswich	5	1	3	1	+4	+4.9	6
18	Blackburn	5	2	0	3	+0	+1.0	6
19	Southampton	6	1	3	2	-2	+2.9	6
20	Derby	7	1	3	3	-4	-5.9	6
21	Oxford	6	1	2	3	-1	-0.9	5
22	Watford	6	1	2	3	-2	-1.0	5
23	Sheffield Weds	6	1	1	4	-7	-3.2	4
24	Sheffield United	6	0	0	6	-12	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Middlesbrough	3	3	0	0	+3	+1.0	9
2	Coventry	4	2	2	0	+9	+7.1	8
3	QPR	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.9	7
4	Leicester	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.5	7
5	Preston	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.2	7
6	Birmingham	3	2	1	0	+2	+2.1	7
7	Stoke	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.0	6
8	Swansea	4	1	3	0	+1	+0.9	6
9	Hull	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.6	6
10	Ipswich	3	1	2	0	+5	+4.2	5
11	West Brom	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.7	5
12	Bristol City	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.1	4
13	Watford	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.4	4
14	Southampton	3	1	1	1	+0	+3.6	4
15	Charlton	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.3	4
16	Portsmouth	3	1	0	2	-2	+1.0	3
17	Millwall	3	1	0	2	-4	+0.8	3
18	Oxford	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.7	2
19	Wrexham	4	0	2	2	-3	-0.9	2
20	Derby	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.7	1
21	Norwich	3	0	0	3	-3	-0.3	0
22	Blackburn	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.7	0
23	Sheffield United	3	0	0	3	-5	+0.7	0
24	Sheffield Weds	3	0	0	3	-8	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Millwall	4	2	2	0	+2	+1.0	8
2	Bristol City	3	2	1	0	+6	-0.1	7
3	Middlesbrough	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.5	7
4	Norwich	3	2	1	0	+3	-3.1	7
5	Stoke	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.8	6
6	Blackburn	3	2	0	1	+3	+2.7	6
7	Wrexham	3	2	0	1	+2	-4.5	6
8	West Brom	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.0	6
9	Coventry	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.7	5
10	Portsmouth	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.0	5
11	Leicester	4	1	2	1	+0	-4.7	5
12	Derby	4	1	2	1	-1	-3.2	5
13	Sheffield Weds	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.2	4
14	Preston	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.1	4
15	Charlton	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.2	4
16	Oxford	3	1	0	2	+0	-1.6	3
17	Swansea	3	1	0	2	+0	-0.4	3
18	QPR	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.8	3
19	Birmingham	4	1	0	3	-5	-0.1	3
20	Southampton	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.7	2
21	Hull	3	0	2	1	-2	-1.3	2
22	Ipswich	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.7	1
23	Watford	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.7	1
24	Sheffield United	3	0	0	3	-7	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.