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Super League
Referee: Fedayi San
Servette
U T U T S
4–0
Full-time
Winterthur
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Winterthur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,23 xG 1,03
51% Possession 49%
15 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Servette 9. · Winterthur 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gallen 6 5 0 1 +10 +6.0 15
2 Thun 6 4 1 1 +5 -1.1 13
3 Basel 6 4 0 2 +4 +5.7 12
4 Young Boys 6 3 2 1 +2 -0.9 11
5 Sion 6 3 1 2 +3 -0.3 10
6 Zurich 6 3 1 2 -1 -1.0 10
7 Luzern 6 2 2 2 +0 -2.5 8
8 Grasshoppers 6 1 3 2 +0 -3.6 6
9 Servette 6 1 2 3 -4 -0.1 5
10 Lausanne 6 1 1 4 -4 +2.4 4
11 Lugano 6 1 1 4 -6 +1.8 4
12 Winterthur 6 0 2 4 -9 -6.3 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Servette

4-4-1-1
1 J. Mall G
18 B. Mazikou D
25 D. Bronn D
19 Y. Severin D
14 L. Njoh D
9 M. Stevanovic M
8 T. Cognat M
11 L. Fomba M
29 K. Varela M
10 A. Antunes F
97 F. Aye F
Bench (9)
32 J. Frick
4 S. Rouiller
6 A. Baron
33 L. Zuka
7 G. Morandi
5 G. Ondoua
90 S. Mraz
35 A. Vincent
45 J. Atangana

Coach: Jocelyn Gourvennec

Winterthur

4-4-2
1 S. Kapino G
24 S. Sidler D
16 R. Arnold D
66 M. Martins D
18 S. Diaby D
19 D. Ulrich M
10 R. Schneider M
7 L. Zuffi M
11 B. Dansoko M
37 E. Maluvunu F
9 R. Buess F
Bench (9)
30 N. Brogli
8 T. Golliard
17 A. Hunziker
20 C. Chiappetta
26 L. Sahitaj
33 T. Citherlet
44 S. Cueni
45 A. Jankewitz
99 N. Burkart

Coach: Uli Forte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.