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Premier League
Referee: M Salisbury
Tottenham
T S S U S
1–1
Full-time
Wolves
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
60%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 30%
20%
40%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
2,0
0,6
Conceded
0,6
2,4
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,87 xG 1,15
51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 9
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tottenham 7. · Wolves 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Liverpool 6 5 0 1 +5 +2.2 15
2 Crystal Palace 6 3 3 0 +5 +4.6 12
3 Sunderland 6 3 2 1 +3 -0.9 11
4 Bournemouth 6 3 2 1 +1 +1.8 11
5 Man City 6 3 1 2 +8 +4.6 10
6 Arsenal 5 3 1 1 +8 +4.1 10
7 Tottenham 5 3 1 1 +7 +0.1 10
8 Chelsea 6 2 2 2 +3 +2.2 8
9 Fulham 5 2 2 1 +1 -1.5 8
10 Brighton 6 2 2 2 +0 +1.7 8
11 Leeds 6 2 2 2 -3 -1.5 8
12 Everton 5 2 1 2 +1 -0.0 7
13 Brentford 6 2 1 3 -2 -1.0 7
14 Man United 6 2 1 3 -4 +2.9 7
15 Newcastle 5 1 3 1 +0 +2.0 6
16 Nott'm Forest 6 1 2 3 -5 -2.9 5
17 Burnley 6 1 1 4 -7 -8.0 4
18 Aston Villa 5 0 3 2 -4 -4.6 3
19 West Ham 5 1 0 4 -8 -2.8 3
20 Wolves 5 0 0 5 -9 -3.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tottenham Wolves
Xavi Simons 🟨
32′
35′
🟨 Matt Doherty
39′
🟨 João Gomes
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Agbadou
↦ M. Doherty
46′
🔁 J. Tchatchoua
↦ Hwang Hee-Chan
54′
S. Bueno 0–1
B. Johnson 🔁
↦ R. Bentancur
62′
P. Porro 🔁
↦ D. Spence
63′
64′
🔁 J. Bellegarde
↦ Joao Gomes
Lucas Bergvall 🟨
65′
P. M. Sarr 🔁
↦ L. Bergvall
78′
W. Odobert 🔁
↦ X. Simons
78′
M. Tel 🔁
↦ D. Udogie
84′
84′
🔁 T. Arokodare
↦ J. S. Larsen
1–1 J. Palhinha
P. M. Sarr
90′
92′
🔁 Toti
↦ J. Arias
João Palhinha 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Tottenham

4-2-3-1
1 G. Vicario G
24 D. Spence D
17 C. Romero D
37 M. van de Ven D
13 D. Udogie D
6 J. Palhinha M
30 R. Bentancur M
20 M. Kudus M
15 L. Bergvall M
7 X. Simons M
9 Richarlison F
Bench (9)
31 A. Kinsky
23 P. Porro
22 B. Johnson
44 D. Scarlett
11 M. Tel
14 A. Gray
4 K. Danso
29 P. M. Sarr
28 W. Odobert

Coach: Roberto De Zerbi

Wolves

4-3-3
31 S. Johnstone G
2 M. Doherty D
4 S. Bueno D
37 L. Krejci D
3 H. Bueno D
5 M. Munetsi M
7 Andre M
8 Joao Gomes M
10 J. Arias F
9 J. S. Larsen F
11 Hwang Hee-Chan F
Bench (9)
1 J. Sa
27 J. Bellegarde
6 D. M. Wolfe
14 T. Arokodare
21 R. Gomes
12 E. Agbadou
24 Toti
38 J. Tchatchoua
28 F. Lopez

Coach: Rob Edwards

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,47
U ✓
4,57
B
6,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,14
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Salisbury · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.