Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Tottenham
Wolves
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Liverpool
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | +2.2 | 15 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +5 | +4.6 | 12 |
| 3 |
Sunderland
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | -0.9 | 11 |
| 4 |
Bournemouth
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +1 | +1.8 | 11 |
| 5 |
Man City
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +8 | +4.6 | 10 |
| 6 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +8 | +4.1 | 10 |
| 7 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +7 | +0.1 | 10 |
| 8 |
Chelsea
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | +2.2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Fulham
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | -1.5 | 8 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +0 | +1.7 | 8 |
| 11 |
Leeds
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -1.5 | 8 |
| 12 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | -0.0 | 7 |
| 13 |
Brentford
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -1.0 | 7 |
| 14 |
Man United
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | +2.9 | 7 |
| 15 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +0 | +2.0 | 6 |
| 16 |
Nott'm Forest
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | -2.9 | 5 |
| 17 |
Burnley
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | -8.0 | 4 |
| 18 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | -4.6 | 3 |
| 19 |
West Ham
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -8 | -2.8 | 3 |
| 20 |
Wolves
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -9 | -3.3 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
G. Vicario
G
C. Romero
D
M. van de Ven
D
D. Udogie
D
J. Palhinha
M
R. Bentancur
M
M. Kudus
M
L. Bergvall
M
Richarlison
F
Coach: Roberto De Zerbi
S. Johnstone
G
M. Doherty
D
S. Bueno
D
L. Krejci
D
H. Bueno
D
M. Munetsi
M
Andre
M
Joao Gomes
M
J. S. Larsen
F
Hwang Hee-Chan
F
Coach: Rob Edwards
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Tottenham
Doncaster
Brighton
Tottenham
Tottenham
Villarreal
West Ham
Tottenham
Tottenham
Bournemouth
M Salisbury · 127 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.