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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Braun
Magdeburg
U S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Karlsruhe
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Karlsruhe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 28%
28%
28%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
56%
Both score Ø 53%
61%
44%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
21 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 18. · Karlsruhe 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 19 12 6 1 +18 42
2 Hamburg 18 12 1 5 +12 37
3 Heidenheim 19 10 6 3 +13 36
4 Kaiserslautern 19 9 8 2 +9 35
5 Paderborn 19 10 2 7 +17 32
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 19 9 2 8 +4 29
7 Hannover 18 8 4 6 +5 28
8 Holstein Kiel 19 7 7 5 +2 28
9 Greuther Furth 19 5 8 6 -4 23
10 Braunschweig 19 5 6 8 -8 21
11 Hansa Rostock 18 6 3 9 -8 21
12 St Pauli 18 4 8 6 -1 20
13 Bielefeld 19 6 2 11 -4 20
14 Sandhausen 19 5 4 10 -11 19
15 Nurnberg 19 5 4 10 -11 19
16 Regensburg 19 5 4 10 -14 19
17 Karlsruhe 18 5 3 10 -5 18
18 Magdeburg 18 5 2 11 -14 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Jul -22 Karlsruhe – Magdeburg 2–3

Match report

Magdeburg Karlsruhe
3′
S. Jung 0–1
F. Schleusener
Half-time 0–1
J. Ceka 🔁
↦ T. Ito
70′
73′
🔁 T. Rossmann
↦ M. Kaufmann
78′
🟨 Marcel Franke
A. Condé 🔁
↦ A. Müller
79′
K. Brünker 🔁
↦ L. Castaignos
79′
81′
🔁 L. Cueto
↦ Choi Kyoung-Rok
81′
🔁 M. Batmaz
↦ F. Schleusener
84′
🟨 Sebastian Jung
Jason Ceka 🟨
89′
J. Lawrence 🔁
↦ S. Gnaka
89′
90′
🔁 D. Gordon
↦ T. Breithaupt
1–1 D. Elfadli
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Magdeburg

3-4-1-2
1 D. Reimann G
2 C. Piccini D
6 D. Elfadli D
15 D. Heber D
7 H. Bockhorn M
16 A. Müller M
25 S. Gnaka M
11 M. El Hankouri M
8 M. Kwarteng F
3 L. Castaignos F
37 T. Ito F
Bench (9)
10 J. Ceka
29 A. Condé
9 K. Brünker
5 J. Lawrence
20 J. Rieckmann
27 M. Cacutalua
31 M. Ullmann
17 Léo Scienza
28 T. Boss

Coach: C. Titz

Karlsruhe

4-4-2
35 M. Gersbeck G
2 S. Jung D
22 C. Kobald D
28 M. Franke D
16 P. Heise D
11 Choi Kyoung-Rok M
8 J. Gondorf M
38 T. Breithaupt M
10 M. Wanitzek M
14 M. Kaufmann F
24 F. Schleusener F
Bench (9)
31 T. Rossmann
17 L. Cueto
9 M. Batmaz
3 D. Gordon
6 L. Jensen
21 M. Thiede
7 S. Rapp
1 K. Eisele
5 D. O'Shaughnessy

Coach: C. Eichner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,71
U ✓
3,50
B
2,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Braun · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.