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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Bauer

Karlsruhe

S U S S U

2–1

Full-time

Nurnberg

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 25%

25%

Average goals

1,8

1,3

Scored

1,3

0,3

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%

10 Shots 24

7 Shots on target 10

1 Blocked shots 7

9 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 10

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karlsruhe 5. · Nurnberg 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hannover	4	4	0	0	+6	+2.5	12
2	Bielefeld	5	3	1	1	+7	+1.7	10
3	Elversberg	4	3	0	1	+2	-2.9	9
4	Schalke 04	4	3	0	1	+2	+0.8	9
5	Karlsruhe	4	2	2	0	+3	+0.3	8
6	Paderborn	5	2	2	1	+1	+2.8	8
7	Darmstadt	4	2	1	1	+2	+0.9	7
8	Preußen Münster	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.5	7
9	Braunschweig	4	2	1	1	+0	-1.1	7
10	Kaiserslautern	4	2	0	2	+1	-0.2	6
11	Greuther Furth	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.2	6
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	1	2	-5	-3.5	4
13	Dresden	4	1	0	3	-2	+1.8	3
14	Holstein Kiel	4	1	0	3	-2	+0.1	3
15	Bochum	5	1	0	4	-4	+1.8	3
16	Magdeburg	5	1	0	4	-5	-0.5	3
17	Hertha	4	0	2	2	-3	-1.9	2
18	Nurnberg	4	0	1	3	-3	+0.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bielefeld	3	2	0	1	+5	+2.2	6
2	Karlsruhe	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.1	6
3	Hannover	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
4	Kaiserslautern	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.0	6
5	Schalke 04	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.7	6
6	Elversberg	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.4	6
7	Paderborn	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.4	6
8	Darmstadt	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.6	4
9	Braunschweig	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
10	Preußen Münster	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.4	4
11	Bochum	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.4	3
12	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.1	3
13	Nurnberg	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.4	1
14	Hertha	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.2	1
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.3	1
16	Magdeburg	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.3	0
17	Dresden	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.8	0
18	Holstein Kiel	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hannover	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.3	6
2	Bielefeld	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.5	4
3	Holstein Kiel	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.4	3
4	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.3	3
5	Dresden	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.1	3
6	Preußen Münster	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.1	3
7	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.4	3
8	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.0	3
9	Darmstadt	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	3
10	Braunschweig	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.3	3
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.2	3
12	Magdeburg	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.8	3
13	Paderborn	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.4	2
14	Karlsruhe	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.2	2
15	Hertha	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.7	1
16	Nurnberg	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.4	0
17	Kaiserslautern	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.2	0
18	Bochum	3	0	0	3	-5	-0.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.