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2. Bundesliga
Referee: H Osmers
Hertha
T U S S S
0–1
Full-time
FC Koln
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,3
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 40%
50%
30%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
60%
90%
Both score Ø 75%
70%
80%
Average goals
3,5
4,2
Scored
1,9
2,2
Conceded
1,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
10 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 6. · FC Koln 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hannover 11 7 1 3 +8 22
2 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 6 2 3 +5 20
3 Paderborn 10 5 4 1 +5 19
4 Karlsruhe 11 5 4 2 +3 19
5 Hamburg 10 5 3 2 +11 18
6 Hertha 10 5 2 3 +3 17
7 Elversberg 11 4 4 3 +6 16
8 Nurnberg 10 5 1 4 +4 16
9 Magdeburg 10 4 4 2 +3 16
10 Kaiserslautern 10 4 3 3 +2 15
11 Darmstadt 11 3 4 4 +1 13
12 Greuther Furth 11 3 4 4 -4 13
13 FC Koln 10 3 3 4 +2 12
14 Preußen Münster 11 2 4 5 -4 10
15 Ulm 11 2 3 6 -3 9
16 Schalke 04 11 2 3 6 -5 9
17 Braunschweig 10 2 2 6 -12 8
18 Regensburg 11 2 1 8 -25 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha FC Koln
31′
T. Lemperle 0–1
D. Heintz
Toni Leistner 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
J. Þorsteinsson 🔁
↦ K. Sessa
46′
P. Klemens 🔁
↦ T. Leistner
52′
Márton Dárdai 🟨
58′
Michał Karbownik 🟨
62′
B. Lum 🔁
↦ M. Karbownik
67′
S. Prevljak 🔁
↦ F. Niederlechner
67′
68′
🔁 D. Downs
↦ T. Lemperle
72′
🟨 Julian Pauli
73′
🔁 L. Waldschmidt
↦ D. Ljubičić
76′
🟨 Marvin Schwäbe
80′
🔁 M. Olesen
↦ D. Heintz
80′
🔁 F. Kainz
↦ L. Maina
L. Schuler 🔁
↦ I. Maza
89′
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hertha

4-4-2
1 T. Ernst G
16 J. Kenny D
37 T. Leistner D
31 M. Dárdai D
42 D. Zeefuik D
27 M. Cuisance M
8 K. Sessa M
33 M. Karbownik M
39 D. Scherhant M
7 F. Niederlechner F
10 I. Maza F
Bench (9)
24 J. Þorsteinsson
41 P. Klemens
21 B. Lum
9 S. Prevljak
18 L. Schuler
22 M. Winkler
5 A. Bouchalakis
35 M. Gersbeck
20 P. Dárdai

Coach: C. Fiél

FC Koln

3-4-3
1 M. Schwäbe G
24 J. Pauli D
4 T. Hübers D
3 D. Heintz D
29 J. Thielmann M
6 E. Martel M
8 D. Huseinbašić M
17 L. Paqarada M
7 D. Ljubičić F
19 T. Lemperle F
37 L. Maina F
Bench (9)
42 D. Downs
9 L. Waldschmidt
47 M. Olesen
11 F. Kainz
43 J. Čuber Potočnik
38 E. Bakatukanda
18 R. Carstensen
16 M. Obuz
40 J. Urbig

Coach: G. Struber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,85
U
4,01
B ✓
2,17
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,40
U2,5 ✓
2,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.