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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Willenborg

Darmstadt

T U S T U

5–1

Full-time

FC Koln

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt FC Koln

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,2

4,3

Scored

1,8

2,8

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 26%

13%

38%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 76%

63%

88%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

3,9

4,1

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

2,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

39% Possession 61%

11 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 6

0 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Darmstadt 16. · FC Koln 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	5	2	1	+4	17
2	Magdeburg	8	4	4	0	+8	16
3	Paderborn	8	4	4	0	+7	16
4	Karlsruhe	8	4	4	0	+5	16
5	Hamburg	8	4	3	1	+11	15
6	Hannover	8	4	1	3	+3	13
7	FC Koln	8	3	3	2	+7	12
8	Elversberg	8	3	3	2	+5	12
9	Hertha	8	3	2	3	-1	11
10	Greuther Furth	8	2	4	2	+3	10
11	Nurnberg	8	3	1	4	-5	10
12	Kaiserslautern	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Schalke 04	8	2	2	4	-3	8
14	Ulm	8	2	1	5	-2	7
15	Braunschweig	8	2	1	5	-10	7
16	Darmstadt	8	1	3	4	-7	6
17	Preußen Münster	8	1	2	5	-5	5
18	Regensburg	8	1	1	6	-18	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Paderborn	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Karlsruhe	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Hamburg	4	2	2	0	+8	8
5	FC Koln	5	2	1	2	+5	7
6	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Braunschweig	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Nurnberg	4	2	0	2	-3	6
9	Greuther Furth	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Schalke 04	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Magdeburg	4	0	4	0	+0	4
13	Regensburg	4	1	1	2	-6	4
14	Ulm	4	1	0	3	-1	3
15	Hertha	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Kaiserslautern	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Preußen Münster	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Darmstadt	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Hertha	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Hamburg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Kaiserslautern	5	2	1	2	-1	7
6	Paderborn	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Karlsruhe	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Greuther Furth	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	FC Koln	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Elversberg	4	1	2	1	+2	5
11	Ulm	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Nurnberg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Schalke 04	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Darmstadt	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Preußen Münster	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Hannover	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Braunschweig	4	0	1	3	-11	1
18	Regensburg	4	0	0	4	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.