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2. Bundesliga

Referee: B Brand

FC Koln

S S S T U

4–4

Full-time

Karlsruhe

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Karlsruhe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,2

3,2

Scored

2,7

2,3

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

2,3

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–2

51% Possession 49%

16 Shots 19

5 Shots on target 7

7 Blocked shots 9

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 8

3 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Koln 10. · Karlsruhe 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	5	2	0	+7	17
2	Magdeburg	7	4	3	0	+8	15
3	Karlsruhe	6	4	2	0	+5	14
4	Paderborn	7	3	4	0	+4	13
5	Hamburg	7	3	3	1	+8	12
6	Hannover	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Hertha	6	3	1	2	+2	10
8	Greuther Furth	7	2	3	2	+3	9
9	Kaiserslautern	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	FC Koln	6	2	2	2	+5	8
11	Ulm	7	2	1	4	+0	7
12	Schalke 04	7	2	1	4	-3	7
13	Nurnberg	6	2	1	3	-4	7
14	Elversberg	6	1	3	2	+1	6
15	Preußen Münster	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Darmstadt	7	1	2	4	-7	5
17	Braunschweig	7	1	1	5	-12	4
18	Regensburg	7	1	1	5	-15	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Karlsruhe	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Hamburg	4	2	2	0	+8	8
4	Paderborn	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Greuther Furth	4	1	2	1	+1	5
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Elversberg	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Regensburg	4	1	1	2	-6	4
9	FC Koln	3	1	0	2	+3	3
10	Schalke 04	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Magdeburg	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Ulm	4	1	0	3	-1	3
13	Braunschweig	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Hertha	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Nurnberg	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Kaiserslautern	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Preußen Münster	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Darmstadt	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Hertha	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Kaiserslautern	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Paderborn	4	1	3	0	+1	6
6	FC Koln	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Karlsruhe	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Greuther Furth	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Ulm	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Nurnberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Hamburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Schalke 04	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Preußen Münster	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Darmstadt	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Elversberg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Hannover	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Braunschweig	4	0	1	3	-11	1
18	Regensburg	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.