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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Heft
Karlsruhe
S U U U S
1–3
Full-time
Hertha
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
56%
44%
Points per game
2,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
56%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,4
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
13 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 13
6 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karlsruhe 2. · Hertha 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fortuna Dusseldorf 9 6 2 1 +7 20
2 Karlsruhe 9 5 4 0 +6 19
3 Paderborn 10 5 4 1 +5 19
4 Hamburg 9 5 3 1 +13 18
5 Magdeburg 9 4 4 1 +6 16
6 Nurnberg 10 5 1 4 +4 16
7 Hannover 9 5 1 3 +4 16
8 Hertha 9 4 2 3 +1 14
9 Elversberg 9 3 4 2 +5 13
10 FC Koln 10 3 3 4 +2 12
11 Kaiserslautern 9 3 3 3 +1 12
12 Greuther Furth 9 2 4 3 -1 10
13 Darmstadt 9 2 3 4 -3 9
14 Schalke 04 9 2 2 5 -4 8
15 Ulm 9 2 1 6 -3 7
16 Braunschweig 9 2 1 6 -12 7
17 Preußen Münster 9 1 3 5 -5 6
18 Regensburg 10 1 1 8 -26 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karlsruhe Hertha
5′
🟨 Toni Leistner
9′
I. Maza 0–1
M. Cuisance
14′
🔁 P. Klemens
↦ I. Maza
Marvin Wanitzek
penalty missed
30′
Leon Jensen 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 D. Scherhant
↦ J. Þorsteinsson
1–1 B. Zivzivadze
M. Wanitzek
48′
49′
D. Zeefuik 1–2
M. Cuisance
58′
F. Niederlechner 1–3
J. Kenny
Fabian Schleusener 🟨
60′
L. Pfeiffer 🔁
↦ B. Conté
62′
R. Heußer 🔁
↦ D. Burnić
62′
D. Herold 🔁
↦ L. Günther
62′
66′
🟨 Derry Scherhant
Sebastian Jung 🟨
72′
72′
🟨 Márton Dárdai
74′
🔁 L. Schuler
↦ F. Niederlechner
75′
🔁 P. Dárdai
↦ K. Sessa
Marcel Beifus 🟨
76′
A. Hunziker 🔁
↦ L. Jensen
76′
L. Egloff 🔁
↦ F. Schleusener
76′
77′
🟨 Jan Luca Schuler
Robin Heußer 🟨
80′
83′
🔁 A. Bouchalakis
↦ M. Cuisance
Andrin Hunziker 🟨
84′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Karlsruhe

4-4-2
1 M. Weiß G
2 S. Jung D
28 M. Franke D
4 M. Beifus D
29 L. Günther D
31 B. Conté M
7 D. Burnić M
6 L. Jensen M
10 M. Wanitzek M
11 B. Zivzivadze F
24 F. Schleusener F
Bench (9)
16 L. Pfeiffer
5 R. Heußer
20 D. Herold
9 A. Hunziker
25 L. Egloff
35 R. Geller
39 E. Zengin
26 B. Bauer
30 R. Himmelmann

Coach: C. Eichner

Hertha

4-4-2
1 T. Ernst G
16 J. Kenny D
37 T. Leistner D
31 M. Dárdai D
42 D. Zeefuik D
27 M. Cuisance M
8 K. Sessa M
33 M. Karbownik M
24 J. Þorsteinsson M
7 F. Niederlechner F
10 I. Maza F
Bench (9)
41 P. Klemens
39 D. Scherhant
18 L. Schuler
20 P. Dárdai
5 A. Bouchalakis
22 M. Winkler
9 S. Prevljak
35 M. Gersbeck
21 B. Lum

Coach: C. Fiél

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,06
U
3,94
B ✓
3,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,43
U2,5
2,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Heft · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.