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Ligue 2
Referee: A Taleb
Caen
T T U T S
2–0
Full-time
Bastia
T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Bastia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 29%
27%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
55%
40%
Both score Ø 58%
55%
60%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
3 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 11
3 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 15. · Bastia 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 12 8 2 2 +11 26
2 Lorient 12 7 2 3 +9 23
3 Annecy 12 6 4 2 +7 22
4 Dunkerque 12 7 1 4 +3 22
5 Amiens 12 6 1 5 +2 19
6 Metz 11 5 3 3 +7 18
7 Grenoble 11 5 2 4 +6 17
8 Guingamp 11 5 1 5 +1 16
9 Laval 12 4 3 5 +2 15
10 Bastia 10 3 6 1 +2 15
11 Clermont 12 4 3 5 -1 15
12 Pau FC 12 4 3 5 -4 15
13 Red Star 12 4 2 6 -8 14
14 Rodez 12 3 3 6 -2 12
15 Caen 11 3 2 6 -4 11
16 Ajaccio 10 3 2 5 -4 11
17 Troyes 12 3 2 7 -9 11
18 Martigues 12 2 2 8 -18 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Bastia
1–0 Alexandre Mendy
M. Le Bihan
31′
45′
🟨 Zakaria Ariss
Half-time 1–0
D. Bolumbu 🔁
↦ V. Henry
46′
46′
🔁 L. Cissé
↦ L. Tramoni
2–0 B. Brahimi
57′
G. Kyeremeh 🔁
↦ M. Le Bihan
65′
T. Gomis 🔁
↦ K. Coulibaly
66′
67′
🔁 F. Tomi
↦ C. Rodrigues
67′
🔁 L. Etoga
↦ T. Ducrocq
67′
🔁 T. Meynadier
↦ F. Bohnert
Didí Gaucho 🟨
69′
74′
🔁 J. Maggiotti
↦ C. Vincent
L. Rajot 🔁
↦ B. Brahimi
77′
M. Autret 🔁
↦ Alexandre Mendy
91′
Full-time 2–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
U
3,15
B
3,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,26
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Taleb · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.