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LaLiga2
Referee: Rafael Sánchez
Eibar
S T S T T
0–2
Full-time
Elche
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Elche
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,5
1,3
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
42%
42%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
33%
42%
Both score Ø 29%
33%
25%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 6
4 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 11. · Elche 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 12 9 2 1 +10 29
2 Levante 12 6 3 3 +4 21
3 Mirandes 12 6 3 3 +3 21
4 Zaragoza 12 6 1 5 +6 19
5 Castellon 12 6 1 5 +4 19
6 Granada 12 5 4 3 +4 19
7 Sp Gijon 12 5 4 3 +4 19
8 Oviedo 12 5 4 3 +1 19
9 Huesca 12 5 3 4 +5 18
10 Elche 12 5 3 4 +2 18
11 Eibar 12 5 3 4 +0 18
12 Malaga 12 3 8 1 +0 17
13 Almeria 12 4 4 4 -1 16
14 Albacete 12 4 3 5 -2 15
15 Cordoba 12 4 3 5 -2 15
16 Burgos 12 4 3 5 -2 15
17 Cadiz 12 3 4 5 -4 13
18 Eldense 12 3 3 6 -5 12
19 Ferrol 12 2 6 4 -5 12
20 La Coruna 12 2 4 6 -4 10
21 Tenerife 12 1 4 7 -8 7
22 Cartagena 12 2 1 9 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Elche
Peru Nolaskoain Esnal 🟨
13′
41′
A. Álvarez 0–1
Álvaro Núñez
45′
M. El Ghezouani 0–2
Yago Santiago
Half-time 0–2
José Corpas 🟨
58′
Jon Guruzeta 🔁
↦ Xeber Alkain
61′
Jon Bautista ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
66′
69′
🔁 Álex Martín
↦ Yago Santiago
73′
🔁 Raúl Guti
↦ A. Álvarez
74′
🔁 Cristian Salvador
↦ Rodrigo Mendoza
Jorge Pascual 🔁
↦ Peru Nolaskoain
76′
Toni Villa 🔁
↦ Antonio Puertas
77′
84′
🔁 A. Houary
↦ N. Fernández
84′
🔁 S. Kaba
↦ M. El Ghezouani
Martín Merquelanz 🔁
↦ Hodei Arrillaga
85′
Sergio Álvarez 🟨
86′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 Daniel Fuzato G
17 José Corpas D
4 Álvaro Carrillo D
22 Aritz Arambarri D
14 Hodei Arrillaga D
8 Peru Nolaskoain M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
7 Xeber Alkain M
29 Ander Madariaga M
20 Antonio Puertas M
9 Jon Bautista F
Bench (11)
21 Jon Guruzeta
11 Jorge Pascual
19 Toni Villa
18 Martín Merquelanz
23 Anaitz Arbilla
35 Oscar Carrasco
13 Jonmi Magunagoitia
15 K. Hashimoto
2 Sergio Cubero
3 Cristian Gutiérrez
27 Slavy

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Elche

4-1-3-2
13 M. Dituro G
15 Álvaro Núñez D
2 Mario Gaspar D
22 D. Affengruber D
12 José Salinas D
14 Aleix Febas M
10 N. Fernández M
30 Rodrigo Mendoza M
24 Yago Santiago M
19 M. El Ghezouani F
9 A. Álvarez F
Bench (12)
16 Álex Martín
8 Raúl Guti
20 Cristian Salvador
35 A. Houary
18 S. Kaba
41 A. Niculăesei
36 R. Núñez
1 Miguel San Román
31 Gerard Hernández
26 M. Barzić
5 John Donald
32 A. Boayar

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,45
U
2,95
B ✓
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,46
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rafael Sánchez · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.