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Bundesliga
Referee: C Dingert
Hertha
T S T T T
2–0
Full-time
FC Koln
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 22%
14%
29%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 71%
71%
71%
Average goals
2,8
3,4
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 16. · FC Koln 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 14 9 4 1 +34 31
2 Union Berlin 14 8 3 3 +7 27
3 Freiburg 14 8 3 3 +5 27
4 Ein Frankfurt 14 8 2 4 +8 26
5 RB Leipzig 14 7 4 3 +8 25
6 Dortmund 15 8 1 6 +4 25
7 M'gladbach 15 6 4 5 +4 22
8 Werder Bremen 14 6 3 5 -1 21
9 Wolfsburg 14 5 5 4 +3 20
10 Hoffenheim 14 5 3 6 +1 18
11 Mainz 14 5 3 6 -5 18
12 FC Koln 14 4 5 5 -6 17
13 Leverkusen 14 4 3 7 -3 15
14 Augsburg 14 4 3 7 -7 15
15 Stuttgart 14 3 5 6 -7 14
16 Hertha 14 2 5 7 -5 11
17 Bochum 14 3 1 10 -23 10
18 Schalke 04 14 2 3 9 -17 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-2-2
1 O. Christensen G
16 J. Kenny D
3 A. Rogel D
20 M. Kempf D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
29 L. Tousart M
34 I. Šunjić M
10 J. Boëtius M
23 M. Richter M
14 D. Lukébakio F
18 W. Kanga F
Bench (9)
17 M. Mittelstädt
40 C. Ejuke
7 D. Selke
27 K. Boateng
8 S. Serdar
5 F. Uremović
2 P. Pekarík
12 T. Ernst
11 M. Maolida

Coach: S. Schwarz

FC Koln

4-2-3-1
20 M. Schwäbe G
2 B. Schmitz D
4 T. Hübers D
15 L. Kilian D
14 J. Hector D
28 E. Skhiri M
6 E. Martel M
37 L. Maina M
18 O. Duda M
11 F. Kainz M
23 S. Adamyan F
Bench (9)
17 K. Schindler
29 J. Thielmann
8 D. Huseinbašić
21 S. Tigges
1 T. Horn
5 N. Soldo
47 M. Olesen
24 J. Chabot
3 K. Pedersen

Coach: S. Baumgart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,25
U
3,64
B
3,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,20
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.