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Super League
Referee: A Katsikogiannis
Olympiakos
S U U S T
2–1
Full-time
Panserraikos
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Panserraikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
30%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
19 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 6. · Panserraikos 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aris Thessalonikis 9 5 3 1 +6 18
2 Aris 9 5 3 1 +6 18
3 PAOK 10 5 2 3 +6 17
4 OFI Crete 10 5 2 3 +1 17
5 AEK 9 4 3 2 +8 15
6 Olympiakos 10 4 3 3 +5 15
7 Panetolikos 9 4 2 3 +3 14
8 Asteras Tripolis 10 3 5 2 +2 14
9 Panathinaikos 10 3 5 2 +1 14
10 Atromitos 10 3 3 4 +0 12
11 Panserraikos 10 3 1 6 -6 10
12 Volos NFC 9 3 1 5 -7 10
13 Lamia 10 1 4 5 -9 7
14 Levadeiakos 9 0 6 3 -6 6
15 Athens Kallithea 10 0 5 5 -10 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos Panserraikos
1–0 K. Velde
Gelson Martins
12′
Half-time 1–0
56′
🔁 M. Deletić
↦ P. Gigić
56′
🔁 J. Gélin
↦ F. Perruzzi
56′
🔁 W. Kaptoum
↦ P. Staikos
63′
J. Salazar 1–1
Z. Chatzistravos
2–1 A. El Kaabi
Rodinei
66′
A. Apostolopoulos 🔁
↦ Costinha
67′
C. Kostoulas 🔁
↦ Chiquinho
68′
68′
🔁 N. Terzić
↦ D. Chantakias
76′
🔁 M. Sofianos
↦ Z. Chatzistravos
A. Papakanellos 🔁
↦ K. Velde
82′
83′
🟨 Wilfrid Kaptoum
Dani García 🔁
↦ C. Mouzakitis
83′
84′
🟨 Marios Sofianos
G. Masouras 🔁
↦ Gelson Martins
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
23 Rodinei D
45 P. Retsos D
16 David Carmo D
20 Costinha D
32 S. Hezze M
96 C. Mouzakitis M
10 Gelson Martins M
22 Chiquinho M
11 K. Velde M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (9)
65 A. Apostolopoulos
84 C. Kostoulas
64 A. Papakanellos
14 Dani García
19 G. Masouras
17 R. Yaremchuk
4 G. Biancone
1 A. Paschalakis
27 Sérgio Oliveira

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Panserraikos

3-4-1-2
23 L. Gugeshashvili G
44 D. Chantakias D
31 E. Bergström D
4 A. Karasalidis D
64 P. Deligiannidis M
5 F. Perruzzi M
26 P. Staikos M
22 M. Wagué M
18 Z. Chatzistravos F
9 P. Gigić F
77 J. Salazar F
Bench (9)
7 M. Deletić
25 J. Gélin
6 W. Kaptoum
24 N. Terzić
21 M. Sofianos
13 P. Katsikas
92 G. Papavasileiou
17 A. Maskanakis
47 A. Karamanolis

Coach: Juan Ferrando

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,15
U
7,09
B
16,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,49
U2,5
2,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Katsikogiannis · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.