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Super League

Referee: L Piccolo

Basel

T S S S T

5–0

Full-time

Winterthur

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Winterthur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

2,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,6

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

58%

50%

Both score Ø 46%

50%

42%

Average goals

3,3

2,9

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

4,62 xG 1,51

58% Possession 42%

22 Shots 13

9 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 9

3 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 2

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 4. · Winterthur 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	12	7	3	2	+7	-1.0	24
2	Servette	12	7	3	2	+3	+2.1	24
3	Lugano	12	6	4	2	+5	-0.3	22
4	Basel	12	6	1	5	+12	+5.9	19
5	Luzern	12	5	4	3	+4	+0.6	19
6	Lausanne	12	5	2	5	+2	+7.8	17
7	St. Gallen	12	4	4	4	+5	-3.5	16
8	Yverdon	12	4	3	5	-5	-7.7	15
9	Sion	12	3	4	5	-2	+7.0	13
10	Young Boys	12	3	3	6	-6	-1.9	12
11	Grasshoppers	12	2	3	7	-8	+1.1	9
12	Winterthur	12	2	2	8	-17	-10.2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	6	4	1	1	+5	+1.7	13
2	Servette	6	4	1	1	+1	+0.5	13
3	Lausanne	6	4	0	2	+6	+6.9	12
4	St. Gallen	6	3	2	1	+7	-0.0	11
5	Zurich	6	3	2	1	+3	-2.3	11
6	Sion	7	2	4	1	+4	+8.5	10
7	Luzern	6	3	1	2	+3	+4.0	10
8	Yverdon	6	3	1	2	-1	-1.7	10
9	Basel	5	3	0	2	+1	+3.8	9
10	Young Boys	6	2	2	2	+0	-4.3	8
11	Winterthur	6	2	1	3	-7	-3.8	7
12	Grasshoppers	6	1	3	2	-2	+3.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	6	4	1	1	+4	+1.3	13
2	Servette	6	3	2	1	+2	+1.6	11
3	Basel	7	3	1	3	+11	+2.2	10
4	Luzern	6	2	3	1	+1	-3.4	9
5	Lugano	6	2	3	1	+0	-1.9	9
6	St. Gallen	6	1	2	3	-2	-3.5	5
7	Yverdon	6	1	2	3	-4	-6.0	5
8	Lausanne	6	1	2	3	-4	+1.0	5
9	Young Boys	6	1	1	4	-6	+2.5	4
10	Sion	5	1	0	4	-6	-1.5	3
11	Grasshoppers	6	1	0	5	-6	-2.1	3
12	Winterthur	6	0	1	5	-10	-6.4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.