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La Liga
Referee: Mateo Busquets
Girona
S T S T S
4–3
Full-time
Leganes
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
27%
18%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
36%
27%
Both score Ø 41%
36%
45%
Average goals
2,3
1,9
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

1,97 xG 0,33
55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Girona 14. · Leganes 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 11 10 0 1 +27 +15.3 30
2 Real Madrid 11 7 3 1 +10 +8.0 24
3 Villarreal 11 6 3 2 +1 +3.5 21
4 Osasuna 12 6 3 3 +1 -0.6 21
5 Ath Madrid 11 5 5 1 +9 +8.0 20
6 Ath Bilbao 11 5 3 3 +6 +1.8 18
7 Betis 11 5 3 3 +2 +7.3 18
8 Mallorca 12 5 3 4 +1 +3.2 18
9 Vallecano 11 4 4 3 +2 -1.6 16
10 Sevilla 11 4 3 4 -3 -2.1 15
11 Celta 11 4 1 6 -3 +1.5 13
12 Alaves 12 4 1 7 -5 -3.6 13
13 Sociedad 11 3 3 5 -2 +1.8 12
14 Girona 11 3 3 5 -3 +1.8 12
15 Leganes 11 2 5 4 -3 -8.9 11
16 Getafe 11 1 7 3 -1 +3.2 10
17 Espanol 11 3 1 7 -9 -10.0 10
18 Las Palmas 11 2 3 6 -6 -9.2 9
19 Valladolid 12 2 2 8 -15 -9.5 8
20 Valencia 11 1 4 6 -9 -9.8 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Girona Leganes
1–0 Miguel Gutiérrez
21′
25′
R. Tapia 1–1
D. Brašanac
2–1 Arnau Martínez
Miguel Gutiérrez
31′
33′
🟨 Yvan Neyou
41′
Juan Cruz 2–2
D. Brašanac
Half-time 2–2
C. Stuani 🔁
↦ B. Miovski
62′
3–2 C. Stuani
62′
Oriol Romeu 🔁
↦ Silvi
72′
3–3 Sergio González
own goal
73′
76′
🔁 M. El Haddadi
↦ Y. Neyou
77′
🔁 V. Rosier
↦ Adrià Alti
77′
🔁 Óscar Rodríguez
↦ S. Cissé
77′
M. El Haddadi 3–4
Óscar Rodríguez
81′
🟨 Matija Nastasić
87′
🟨 Munir El Haddadi
Paulo Gazzaniga 🟨
88′
88′
🔁 Javi Hernández
↦ Sergio González
Oriol Romeu 🟨
92′
94′
🔁 Roberto López
↦ D. Brašanac
98′
🟨 Óscar Rodríguez
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Girona

3-4-2-1
13 P. Gazzaniga G
15 Juanpe D
5 David López D
17 D. Blind D
4 Arnau Martínez M
21 Y. Herrera M
28 Silvi M
3 Miguel Gutiérrez M
20 Bryan Gil F
6 D. van de Beek F
19 B. Miovski F
Bench (11)
7 C. Stuani
14 Oriol Romeu
44 P. Ba
29 Kim Min-Su
37 Raul Martínez
30 Enric García
43 A. Andreev
45 Ferrán Ruiz
18 L. Krejčí
42 Lucas García
46 D. Camara

Coach: Míchel Sánchez

Leganes

4-3-1-2
13 M. Dmitrović G
2 Adrià Alti D
6 Sergio González D
22 M. Nastasić D
15 Enric Franquesa D
8 S. Cissé M
17 Y. Neyou M
5 R. Tapia M
14 D. Brašanac M
11 Juan Cruz F
9 Miguel de la Fuente F
Bench (8)
23 M. El Haddadi
12 V. Rosier
7 Óscar Rodríguez
20 Javi Hernández
21 Roberto López
24 J. Chicco
1 Juan Soriano
36 Alvin

Coach: Borja Jiménez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,71
U
3,64
B
5,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,23
U2,5
1,67
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mateo Busquets · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,44 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.