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Allsvenskan

Referee: M Al Hakim

Hammarby

S T S S S

2–2

Full-time

Malmo FF

S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Malmo FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,5

2,2

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 61%

57%

64%

Points per game

1,9

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

57%

61%

Both score Ø 41%

36%

46%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

1,6

2,3

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,00 xG 0,74

62% Possession 38%

15 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 6

4 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hammarby 2. · Malmo FF 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	28	18	7	3	+41	+22.6	61
2	Hammarby	28	16	5	7	+24	+7.2	53
3	AIK	28	16	3	9	+2	+2.1	51
4	Djurgarden	28	15	5	8	+9	+1.4	50
5	Mjallby	28	13	7	8	+8	+3.0	46
6	Hacken	28	12	6	10	+5	-7.6	42
7	GAIS	28	12	6	10	+0	-4.4	42
8	Elfsborg	28	12	5	11	+7	+7.7	41
9	Sirius	28	12	4	12	+2	-0.6	40
10	Brommapojkarna	28	8	10	10	-5	-1.5	34
11	Norrkoping	28	8	7	13	-20	-5.2	31
12	Goteborg	28	7	9	12	-9	-6.1	30
13	Halmstad	28	9	3	16	-15	-6.1	30
14	Varnamo	28	6	9	13	-11	-6.6	27
15	Kalmar	28	7	5	16	-21	-8.8	26
16	Vasteras SK	28	5	5	18	-17	+2.8	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	14	12	1	1	+30	+9.8	37
2	Hammarby	14	9	3	2	+16	+4.5	30
3	Mjallby	14	8	5	1	+11	+3.6	29
4	AIK	14	9	1	4	+10	+4.6	28
5	GAIS	14	8	4	2	+10	+0.9	28
6	Elfsborg	14	8	3	3	+15	+7.3	27
7	Djurgarden	14	7	4	3	+4	-0.9	25
8	Hacken	14	6	3	5	+7	-0.6	21
9	Sirius	14	6	2	6	+5	+4.1	20
10	Halmstad	14	6	2	6	+4	+0.7	20
11	Brommapojkarna	14	4	5	5	-6	-0.1	17
12	Norrkoping	14	5	2	7	-9	-1.6	17
13	Goteborg	14	3	5	6	-6	-3.8	14
14	Vasteras SK	14	3	3	8	-7	+4.0	12
15	Kalmar	14	3	2	9	-11	-3.5	11
16	Varnamo	14	2	3	9	-13	-2.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	14	8	1	5	+5	+2.3	25
2	Malmo FF	14	6	6	2	+11	+12.8	24
3	Hammarby	14	7	2	5	+8	+2.6	23
4	AIK	14	7	2	5	-8	-2.6	23
5	Hacken	14	6	3	5	-2	-7.0	21
6	Sirius	14	6	2	6	-3	-4.7	20
7	Varnamo	14	4	6	4	+2	-4.5	18
8	Brommapojkarna	14	4	5	5	+1	-1.4	17
9	Mjallby	14	5	2	7	-3	-0.6	17
10	Goteborg	14	4	4	6	-3	-2.3	16
11	Kalmar	14	4	3	7	-10	-5.3	15
12	Elfsborg	14	4	2	8	-8	+0.3	14
13	GAIS	14	4	2	8	-10	-5.2	14
14	Norrkoping	14	3	5	6	-11	-3.6	14
15	Halmstad	14	3	1	10	-19	-6.8	10
16	Vasteras SK	14	2	2	10	-10	-1.1	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.