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Serie B
Referee: J Sacchi
Bari
U U U U U
2–2
Full-time
Reggiana
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Reggiana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
17%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
1,5
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
18%
27%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
27%
27%
Both score Ø 41%
55%
27%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
10 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 10
4 Blocked shots 2
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bari 11. · Reggiana 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 11 6 4 1 +11 22
2 Pisa 11 6 4 1 +6 22
3 Spezia 11 5 6 0 +7 21
4 Cremonese 11 5 3 3 +4 18
5 Palermo 11 4 4 3 +3 16
6 Juve Stabia 11 4 4 3 +0 16
7 Sampdoria 11 4 3 4 +2 15
8 Cesena 11 4 3 4 +1 15
9 Cosenza 11 3 5 3 -1 14
10 Brescia 11 4 2 5 -2 14
11 Bari 11 2 7 2 +2 13
12 Catanzaro 11 2 7 2 +2 13
13 Mantova 11 3 4 4 -3 13
14 Sudtirol 11 4 1 6 -4 13
15 Carrarese 11 3 3 5 -2 12
16 Reggiana 11 3 3 5 -2 12
17 Salernitana 11 3 3 5 -3 12
18 Modena 11 2 5 4 -2 11
19 Cittadella 11 2 4 5 -9 10
20 Frosinone 11 1 5 5 -10 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bari Reggiana
Nosa Edward Obaretin 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
A. Novakovich 🔁
↦ G. Manzari
46′
A. Favilli 🔁
↦ K. Lasagna
46′
1–0 Ahmad Benali
A. Novakovich
53′
2–0 A. Novakovich
G. Sibilli
56′
58′
🔁 A. Vergara
↦ R. Fiamozzi
62′
🟨 Antonio Vergara
65′
🔁 O. Urso
↦ N. Girma
65′
🔁 C. Gondo
↦ S. Pettinari
L. Šimić 🔁
↦ N. Obaretin
67′
N. Lella 🔁
↦ G. Sibilli
74′
R. Maiello 🔁
↦ M. Maita
74′
80′
🔁 M. Maggio
↦ T. Reinhart
80′
🔁 L. Štulac
↦ M. Portanova
81′
L. Lucchesi 2–1
C. Gondo
83′
ℹ️ Lorenzo Lucchesi
VAR: Goal confirmed
87′
C. Gondo 2–2
Andrea Favilli 🟨
91′
97′
🟨 Leo Štulac
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Bari

3-4-2-1
1 B. Radunović G
25 R. Pucino D
23 F. Vicari D
55 N. Obaretin D
7 A. Oliveri M
4 M. Maita M
8 Ahmad Benali M
93 M. Dorval M
18 G. Manzari F
20 G. Sibilli F
15 K. Lasagna F
Bench (12)
9 A. Novakovich
99 A. Favilli
44 L. Šimić
28 N. Lella
17 R. Maiello
22 M. Pissardo
11 L. Sgarbi
13 A. Tripaldelli
94 C. Saco
27 C. Favasuli
3 V. Mantovani
10 N. Bellomo

Coach: M. Longo

Reggiana

3-5-2
22 F. Bardi G
31 M. Sampirisi D
13 A. Meroni D
44 L. Lucchesi D
15 R. Fiamozzi M
25 L. Ignacchiti M
16 T. Reinhart M
5 A. Sersanti M
90 M. Portanova M
23 S. Pettinari F
80 N. Girma F
Bench (12)
30 A. Vergara
29 O. Urso
11 C. Gondo
27 M. Maggio
6 L. Štulac
7 M. Marras
1 E. Motta
8 L. Cigarini
24 A. Fontanarosa
17 L. Libutti
4 P. Rozzio
77 E. Kabashi

Coach: W. Viali

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,05
U ✓
3,26
B
3,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Sacchi · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.